A Brief Opinion of National to State Polling Correlation

[Rule of Claw]

I am moving my projection nationally from Joe 54-45 to 55-44. Indies won't look past "Get rid of the ballots." Plus there is that story I keep hearing about possibly today or tomorrow.

This flips TX. IA, GA and OH were already blue at 54.

The shock of election night could be MT and SC.

I believe the more Joe wins above 7 the following states go blue in order:

NC, GA, IA, OH, TX, MO, SC, MT, AK.

Any questions just ask! It really just comes down to white college supporter vote shift in the suburbs.

437 Evs possible. For now I am going with 413. (NE-2)


https://www.270towin.com/maps/Xoz2x

[radius777]

1. Biden's numbers are looking good with Latinos.

Some were worried about this a few weeks ago but recent numbers show him back up to Hillary levels with Latinos, and doing much better with white voters than she did. I also think black turnout will be up, not as high as Obama but better than 2016.

[BumRushDaShow]

2. "I also think black turnout will be up, not as high as Obama but better than 2016."

Don't forget that Kamala Harris is on that ticket and that is going to shoot it up. She is slowly going deep into the black-focused cultural outlets. She also has her alma mater, Howard U, and her (and my) sorority - Alpha Kappa Alpha - having her back with their organizing machines. She was just here in Philly not far from where I live, last week - https://whyy.org/articles/kamala-harris-makes-the-case-for-biden-to-phillys-black-residents/

Biden was just on the Steve Harvey show yesterday - https://whur.com/steve-harvey-morning-show/joe-biden-talks-with-steve-harvey/

What I'd like to see, are the REST of the "minorities" to step up to the plate.