Joe Biden has a 80.0 per cent chance of winning the presidency according to the...
...New Statesman's election model.
https://www.newstatesman.com/international/2020/08/us-2020-presidential-election-forecast-model-will-donald-trump-or-joe-biden]
You need to click on the link for full breakdown, it is behind a paywall but you can get four free links month... use the wisely. There is also detailed state by state analysis.
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