WI-03: Ron Kind moves from 'Likely' to 'Lean' Democratic
Donald Trump carried this traditionally blue western Wisconsin district by five points shocking even Republicans, who didn't bother fielding a nominee against Kind. This year, GOP retired Navy SEAL Derrick Van Orden raised more money by June than the 2018 GOP nominee spent all cycle and private polling is close enough that last week, the GOP-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund jumped in.
Kind, a self-branded "New Democrat" and a high school football star in La Crosse, has now held this seat for 24 years and GOP ads call him a "liberal career politician. But he had $3.1 million in cash on hand in June and is taking the race seriously enough that he's attacking Van Orden over a 2015 memoir in which he recollects exposing a male lieutenant's genitals to two female junior officers. Trump may win here again, but Kind remains the favorite.
https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/house-rating-changes-seven-races-move-mostly-towards-democrats