Have you seen the latest polls today?

[dixiegrrrrl]

The poll averages are what tells the story, and Biden is up 6 points, but this week, ALL the polls, even
Rasmussen, has Biden ahead.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html

[safeinOhio]

1. Five-thirty eight latest has

Biden up 7.1 average of all polls.

[mr_lebowski]

2. That's nice but national polls don't mean much ... I wish they did (nt)

[Silent3]

3. When the gap is big they do

The wider the national gap, the lower the odds of the crazy Electoral College system making a difference. I’d have to look it up again for the exact value, but the largest EC override of the popular vote has been 2-3%, with one exception of about 4% in the case of a weird 4-way race in the early 1800s, under a very different electoral system.

If the national vote differs by 7%, the odds of the EC overriding that are quite small.

[Happy Hoosier]

6. At this point, they DO mean something.

The state polls are NOT disconnected from national polls. A lead in the national polls doesn't mean Biden will win, but a lead this big makes it far more likely. In other words, there are very few scenarios where Biden can win the national vote by 7% and Trump wins enough states to secure the election win. Hillary won the national vote by 2.8%, and just BARELY lost the states that put Trump over the top in the EC. That kinda tells you where the ceiling is.

[malaise]

4. Americans aren't stupid

a blow out of epic proportions is coming. VOTE!

[dixiegrrrrl]

7. Collins is 6.5 down from her challenger, Gideon.

Hee hee...savor...savor. Also maybe savior.

[malaise]

8. I am sure she is deeply

CONCERNED. I don't care, do you?

[Johnny2X2X]

5. 7.1%, been steady for months.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/

[Eid Ma Clack Shaw]

9. Biden is also up by NINE in two good PA polls

I can only hope that the bad headlines for Trump haven’t finished and that there’s more to come - people have dreadfully short memories, but this stuff will chip away and it will sway some of the third party voters who are currently the difference in certain polls between a ten point Biden lead nationwide and a five or six point advantage.

[Polybius]

10. That's about what Biden is gonna win by

We much come to accept that no matter what Trump does, Biden is not gonna win by 20 points. It's gonna be something like Trump 46, Biden 53, and third Parties at 1%.

With that being said, there are still many here who disagree, and that it's gonna be a 60-40 blowout.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

11. I have been cautious about national polls pretty much up to now.

But this is incredibly consistent, from poll to poll.

[Wounded Bear]

12. Like anything, they are just an indicator...

admittedly they are good indicators now. But the election is far from over.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

13. Another thing to keep in mind that the Trump taxes story has

only just broken, and I doubt much polling has taken place since then. Let's see what things look like in a few more days.

[dixiegrrrrl]

14. real Clear Politics site reports 7 days of polling

the last ones were averaged out on the 28th.

This trainwreck of a debate tonight is gonna be interesting for the polls.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

15. Yes.

Every day something new and worse.