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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPredictions on demographic voting in 2020.
I just looked back at the 2016 numbers. Seen Below.
Heres what Clinton did:
WM. 32. 62
WM. 45. 47
BM. 91. 6
BW. 98. *
HM. 65. 28
HW. 67. 28
Source:
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2018/08/09/an-examination-of-the-2016-electorate-based-on-validated-voters/
Do you see any real appreciable change in those 6 major demographic groups?
I think that Biden does much better with white men and Trump may do a little better with Hispanic men. Plus there will be very few votes going to third party candidates this time.
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Predictions on demographic voting in 2020. (Original Post)
Funtatlaguy
Oct 2020
OP
Prediction: Biden is the first Dem since Clinton in '96 to win a majority of white women (n/t)
Spider Jerusalem
Oct 2020
#1
Spider Jerusalem
(21,786 posts)1. Prediction: Biden is the first Dem since Clinton in '96 to win a majority of white women (n/t)
Funtatlaguy
(11,872 posts)2. I agree with you. Sure hope so.
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)3. Biden will do better with whites, Trump better with Hispanics
In particular, white working class females will shift toward Biden and middle aged Hispanic men toward Trump
Black males somewhat better for Trump
Key number is how much Biden improves among whites