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Funtatlaguy

(10,870 posts) Thu Oct 1, 2020, 06:55 PM Oct 2020

Predictions on demographic voting in 2020.

I just looked back at the 2016 numbers. Seen Below.
Here’s what Clinton did:
WM. 32. 62
WM. 45. 47
BM. 91. 6
BW. 98. *
HM. 65. 28
HW. 67. 28
Source:
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2018/08/09/an-examination-of-the-2016-electorate-based-on-validated-voters/

Do you see any real appreciable change in those 6 major demographic groups?
I think that Biden does much better with white men and Trump may do a little better with Hispanic men. Plus there will be very few votes going to third party candidates this time.

3 replies

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Highlight:

Predictions on demographic voting in 2020. (Original Post) Funtatlaguy Oct 2020 OP

Prediction: Biden is the first Dem since Clinton in '96 to win a majority of white women (n/t) Spider Jerusalem Oct 2020 #1

I agree with you. Sure hope so. Funtatlaguy Oct 2020 #2

Biden will do better with whites, Trump better with Hispanics Awsi Dooger Oct 2020 #3

Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)

1. Prediction: Biden is the first Dem since Clinton in '96 to win a majority of white women (n/t)

Reply to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Thu Oct 1, 2020, 07:00 PM

Oct 2020

Funtatlaguy

(10,870 posts)

2. I agree with you. Sure hope so.

Reply to Spider Jerusalem (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 1, 2020, 07:02 PM

Oct 2020

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

3. Biden will do better with whites, Trump better with Hispanics

Reply to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Thu Oct 1, 2020, 07:19 PM

Oct 2020

In particular, white working class females will shift toward Biden and middle aged Hispanic men toward Trump

Black males somewhat better for Trump

Key number is how much Biden improves among whites

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