Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
Editorials & Other Articles
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
for those worried about 538 trump numbers
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/they do look weird - but look at the component polls skewing them toward the asshole. This is approval - and is a running aggregate of lots of polls, so can shift quickly with outliers.
An Oct 2 from Zogby which is a real outlier - and an IBD/TIPP which is also an outlier.
Latest 2 to be included will be morning consult at an adjusted of 39%.
Look at this instead - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
You can look at the various state polls.
Look at the "how the forecast has changed" box and click electoral vote difference. Joe hasn't been at less than 313 - this spans back to June - and asshole no higher than 223.
2 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
= new reply since forum marked as read
Kick in to the DU tip jar?
This week we're running a special pop-up mini fund drive. From Monday through Friday we're going ad-free for all registered members, and we're asking you to kick in to the DU tip jar to support the site and keep us financially healthy.
As a bonus, making a contribution will allow you to leave kudos for another DU member, and at the end of the week we'll recognize the DUers who you think make this community great.