NC-11 moves from 'Likely' to 'Lean' Republiccan
In June, 25-year-old real estate investor Madison Cawthorn won the GOP runoff for this mountainous district, defeating White House chief of staff Mark Meadows' endorsed candidate. But in August, Jezebel published since-deleted Instagram posts appearing to show the young candidate marveling at Hitler's Eagle's Nest bunker during a 2017 vacation. Now, Republicans are increasingly anxious.
Last year, court-ordered redistricting added Asheville back to the 11th CD, narrowing Trump's 2016 margin here from 29 points to 17 points. Democratic retired Air Force colonel Moe Davis might raise $2 million and is running on "country over party." Privately, GOP outside groups admit it's become too close for comfort and want to spend, but the presidential race has jacked up the cost of ads in Asheville.
https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/october-house-overview-democrats-poised-expand-majority