Biden extends lead over Trump to 17 points

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Biden extends lead over Trump to 17 points




https://www.opinium.com/resource-center/biden-extends-lead-over-trump-to-17-points/

[PSPS]

1. Not a real poll. GOTV

[Johnny2X2X]

3. It absolutely is a real poll

They have a good sample and then adjust for known demographics. Is it an outlier? Probably a bit, but +17 is probably closer to the truth than +5 right now.

538 includes it in their average even thought they don't rate it. Average is now Biden +10.6.

[PSPS]

4. Online polls are not real polls. In any case, GOTV. That's the only poll that matters!

[Johnny2X2X]

5. Simply not true

AS long as they are live and bot proof they are valid. This isn't like some Twitter poll where anyone can click a button, change their IP address and then click it again.

These are online interviews conducted in real time, then adjusted for demographics like every other poll.

[PSPS]

9. Why argue? Less talky, more vote-y! Three weeks to the only poll that matters!

It's a horrible mistake to take an outlier poll like this (or any poll, for that matter) seriously. It only fosters complacency.

[Johnny2X2X]

10. I already voted

Understanding reality is not a bad thing, ever. Biden is way ahead, people knowing this will not depress voter turnout for Dems, but it may for Reps.

The USC Dorn life polls were the only polls that had Trump winning in 2016, right now they have Biden by 13 or 14. So 17 is not that far of.

2020 is not 2016.

[Tom Rinaldo]

8. Polls help protect elections from being stolen

If polls show Biden winning in a landslide it makes it much more dangerous and unlikely to work out the way Trump wants if he attempts to steal the election anyway.

[Johnny2X2X]

13. This is correct

Polls are valuable. People are just shell shocked from 2016 still, this is a blowout right now and the clock is running out. Also, 11 million people have already voted!

[joshcryer]

11. Hillary Clinton lost by 80 thousand votes.

The Electoral College is rigged in favor of Republicans. It gives them a 3+ point advantage. Depress the vote and make anyone think it is a foregone conclusion, and you have a Trump presidency. Everyone, must, fucking, vote.

[GemDigger]

2. Not enough, don't let your guard down.

[krawhitham]

6. And Zogby has Joe up just 2.1 points

https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/960-the-zogby-poll-race-tightens-with-third-parties-included-dr-jo-jorgensen-receives-5-trump-winning-with-large-city-and-millennial-voters

[DeminPennswoods]

12. Hmmm

Using information based on census data, voter registration figures, CIA fact books and exit polls, we use complex weighting techniques to best represent the demographics of the population being surveyed. Weighted variables may include age, race, gender, region, party, education, and religion.

Never seen a poll that used "CIA fact books" or "exit polls" in its weighting algorithm.

[roamer65]

15. Zogby.

[tormadjax]

7. Wow! So happy to see this!

We're gonna win!!!!!

[Polybius]

14. Online poll

n/t

[BlueWavePsych]

16. GOTV