General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTwo Polls That Predicted Trump's 2016 Win Now Predict His 2020 Landslide Loss
https://www.newsweek.com/two-polls-that-predicted-trumps-2016-win-now-predict-his-2020-landslide-loss-1538501The day before Election Day 2016, the IBD/TIPP poll showed Trump beating Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton by 2 percentage points and the USC/LA Times poll showed Trump beating Clinton by 3.2 percentage points.
...
As of October 12, 2020, the IBD/TIPP poll has Trump losing to Biden by 8.5 percentage points, and the USC poll has Trump losing to Biden by 13 percentage points. It seems The LA Times is no longer partnering with USC for its 2020 poll.
...
The latest USC poll has had Biden consistently beating Trump by at least eight percentage points since late August. Four years ago, it showed Trump consistently beating Clinton for all but four days from September 12, 2016 to November 8, 2016.
Guy Whitey Corngood
(26,474 posts)Roland99
(53,342 posts)GMTA!
Guy Whitey Corngood
(26,474 posts)roamer65
(36,738 posts)tormadjax
(164 posts)PTWB
(4,131 posts)It is FAR from over. VOTE!!
whopis01
(3,463 posts)From your point of view this election is certainly over!
Marius25
(3,213 posts)Trump and the GOP are cheating like crazy. Trump can still win.
Cicada
(4,533 posts)They discovered that they had been over sampling a geographic area which was pro Trump. If they had not made that error then in 2016 they probably would have been like the other polls.
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)They oversampled rural voters
Cicada
(4,533 posts)Beartracks
(12,749 posts)These predictions assume that YOU are one of the votes that are required to make this come true.
Everybody do your part!!
Thank you.
=========
napi21
(45,806 posts)friends in several other States. My husban asked m the other night "What are you gonna do is he wins again?" I don't know. Every day he creates more anger in my life & I can't deal with much more!
sandensea
(21,460 posts)Full of not only GOP opinion and fake news; but puerile insults such as exhorting Republicans to vote "if for no other reason than to cancel out Democrats driving their Geo Metros to the polls."
But it's amazing the effect Trump has had on many country-club Republicans.
God works in mysterious ways.
SWBTATTReg
(21,811 posts)is getting out on voting day and voting. Why distract people with poll after poll after poll after...
Isn't the job at hand to focus voters' attention on getting out and voting, and nothing else?
AleksS
(1,665 posts)He did, in fact, lose the percentage of votes cast.
Polls that showed him winning the percentage of popular votes were the wrong ones.
DrToast
(6,414 posts)They predicted Trump would win the popular vote, which he most certainly did not.
They say they have fixed the poll methodology this year, and they probably did, but they did not predict a Trump win.
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)They were grossly incorrect in 2016.
They wrongly predicted Trump would win the popular vote.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,286 posts)musclecar6
(1,675 posts)Trumps strategy is to continue doing what he does best. Conning cheating and lying for his base of deplorables cheap skates and stupid fucks. Along the way he hopes to roll over some independents who dont have enough brains to come in out of the rain and somehow charm or bullshit or intimidate them to come over to his side. Will he get away with it? He might so we got to keep the pressure on and hopefully we win. One thing is for sure just like always is this will be a fight to the finish.