If Joe Wins 50 Percent of Whites

[Rule of Claw]

He gets to 59 percent, and wins all but the Dixiecrat states. Probably wins both Dakotas as well.

Let's keep our wits about us, gravy is nice but take care of the steak first. (Blue wall.)

However just for fun, at 59 percent of the vote he wins FL by more than ten. Q had him at 11.

[Wounded Bear]

1. Anybody who hasn't voted yet should be determined to do so...

Speculation and poll trolling won't do squat.

Vote!

[TwilightZone]

2. He's not winning the Dakotas.

Although polls are sketchy, he's up about 20 points in ND and double digits in SD. Even if turnout is record-breaking, there aren't enough Dems in either state to make up that kind of gap.

But then, it's also highly unlikely he'll get 50% of whites.

[Awsi Dooger]

3. Let's aim for low 40s

That is realistic. Some of these polls are skewing perception toward how people actually vote in federal races, where everything is so comparatively rigid. Texas Politics Project polls that state all the time. Year after year. High sample sizes of 1200+. Their October poll has Biden losing whites in Texas 62-34. Doses of reality are necessary:

https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/set/presidential-trial-ballot-october-2020#race

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. Last Dem to win a majority of whites was LBJ. Clinton flirted with a plurality in 96.

HRC only received 37%. If she received 38% she likely wins PA, WI, MI, and the presidency.

[Under The Radar]

4. Win the Dixiecrat States? You mean like Mississippi?

[Tarc]

5. Vapid, pie-in-the-sky, wishing

We are not winning either of the Dakotas.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

7. Half of white voters will vote for Trump?

That's horrifying. Makes me ashamed to be white.