538 has Biden back up to +10.7% this morning. (edited due to even more increase!)

[lagomorph777]

Cue the "Pretend we're losing by 10 points! Crawl under a rock and die!" posts. Despair kills enthusiasm and stifles action. Rejoice, people. Take this encouragement and get yourself and everybody you trust, to the polls, in whatever form that takes in your state.

[Dream Girl]

1. It's no use. We're gonna lose. 😔

[Demsrule86]

11. Add sarcasm. For sure someone will take this out of context.

[Jamesyu]

2. The concern trolls are hilarious

[Johnny2X2X]

3. His 10 point lead is holding, it's a full week now

18 days to go! Know that in 2016, 20 days out is when Trump started to make his move as he got Gary Johnson voters to give up on Gary and start supporting him. He was closing the gap already when the James Comey election altering memo broke and that would carry him in the swing states.

I know 2016 has been beaten to death, but another aspect I don't think I've heard mentioned is that state polls are notoriously lagging and infrequent. You can look at state polls, but there's not a ton of good data on what the Comey memo's effect was in the states, 10 days wasn't enough time to get data in reflecting how this played in MI, WI, and PA.

[lagomorph777]

6. If Turd scoops up every undecided voter, Joe still has a MAJORITY.

The longer this continues, the better it is for Joe (and the world).

[Johnny2X2X]

10. Joe will win undecideds 2/1

This is normal for a challenger, and polls are bearing that out too, that the undecideds favor Joe better than 2/1 if they were forced to pick!

[exboyfil]

15. The Des Moines Register poll showing Trump up by 7 in Iowa

Was the one that triggered me to think that Clinton was in real trouble. Trump won by 9 points.


https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2016/11/05/iowa-poll-trump-opens-7-point-lead-over-clinton/93347134/

[Le Roi de Pot]

4. But Ohio has become red again

[lagomorph777]

9. Nope. OH is a tie on 538's average.

Which is pretty amazing.

[catbyte]

16. Losing Ohio will not sink Biden, but it is a must-win for trump.

[Tribetime]

20. I voted in Cleveland yesterday

No other voting experience can compare to. Very festive some dancing, it felt like everyone there knew what was a stake. I think pollsters are going to underestimate the percentage of people showing up to vote who normally wouldn't.

[catbyte]

23. Sounds awesome! I so hope he gets trounced election night & Biden declared the winner. At 11:00 EDT.

[Tribetime]

25. Im hoping earlier😄

[catbyte]

28. They have to wait until the polls on the west coast close at 8:00 PST.

They instituted that rule after Carter's loss to Reagan in 1980. He was declared the winner before the polls closed & it suppressed the western vote. But I agree--the earlier the better, lol.

[amuse bouche]

5. It is going to be a rout and I'm excited for it

Pretending otherwise just doesn't work for me

I follow a guy that is much better than 538. He's an ex Republican and is really good at separating the wheat from the shaft.

@ContentedIndie

[Johnny2X2X]

7. Up to 10.7 just now, a new high!

Associated Press Poll, Biden 51 Trump 36, this is all voters though.

https://apnorc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/topline_october_trumpcovid.pdf

[Demsrule86]

8. ++++++10000000000000000

Thank you.

[CornbreadJohnson]

12. Either way, VOTE!

Light a fire under your own ass and vote, mf'ers!

[amuse bouche]

13. It's insulting and stupid for anyone to come here and think people aren't voting...'mf'er'

[CornbreadJohnson]

30. No, it isn't

I'm a Democrat in deep red state, I don't have the luxury some in the blue states do to sit on their hands and wait this one out like too many did in 2016.

[amuse bouche]

31. You must be new here. No one on DU is not going to vote

It's as annoying as F**k to have anyone here say otherwise. Get a grip

[BumRushDaShow]

14. Have you voted?

[CornbreadJohnson]

29. Yes, mailed in late September

Absentee.

[catbyte]

17. I already have. Have you?

And here's a pro tip, it's not polite to call is names.

[Codeine]

24. Dude. nt

[Johnny2X2X]

18. 538 Forecast moved to Biden 87 Trump 12

Trump now has less than a 1 in 8 chance.

[lagomorph777]

19. Yeah, baby.

Of course, it's impossible for a statistician to account for possibilities such as a Proud Boy armed insurrection. But in terms of votes, we're on a good course!

[Dem2]

21. I voted already

I'm just Bid(en)ing my time

[ananda]

22. Like!

Biden our time!

[roamer65]

26. VOTE people. Pile it on.

We need an overwhelming mandate for change.

[Wounded Bear]

27. Anybody who hasn't voted yet should be determined to do so...

I haven't received my ballot yet, so I'm still pending.

But, yes, everybody get out and vote!