Trump Gives Up on Wisconsin and Minnesota

[RandySF]

Trump campaign Bill Stepien has suggested to colleagues that President Trump is no longer competitive in either Wisconsin or Minnesota, according to Axios.

But he believes Trump will still win Ohio, Florida, Georgia, Iowa and Maine’s second congressional district.

If so — and that’s a big “if” since Joe Biden is currently leading in the polling averages in every one of those states.

Stepien sees three alternative paths to victory:

The most likely is for Trump to win Arizona, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
The second most likely would be for Trump to win Arizona, North Carolina and Michigan.
And the third pathway has Trump winning North Carolina, Michigan and Nevada.
Once again, Biden is leading in the polling averages in every one of these states.

And if Trump loses Florida, Ohio or Georgia, then none of the paths above are viable. If he loses Iowa, then the last two paths will be out of reach.

That doesn’t mean Trump can’t win, but every one of his viable paths is currently blocked.



https://politicalwire.com/2020/10/16/trump-gives-up-on-wisconsin-and-minnesota/

[Blue Owl]

1. K&R

[SoonerPride]

2. I predict trump won't win any state listed in your post.

Not one.

Wisconsin
Minnesota
Ohio
Florida
Georgia
Iowa
Maine’s second congressional district.
Arizona
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Nevada.

He will lose them all.

[underpants]

3. Ohio?

Marking to give you credit if you are right.

[SoonerPride]

7. I think Biden pulls out Ohio too.

[Rice4VP]

39. Me too. They are struggling financially there

because of Trump’s crazy trade deals

[Statistical]

26. Not sure about Ohio and Iowa. Biden could win them but I think it will be very close. A coin flip.

Of course it doesn't really matter with the rest of the list Biden is on 350 EV even without IA and OH. Adding them just makes it a bit more bitter for Trump.

[OldManTarHeel]

30. I wouldn't trust Ohio or Flor-a-duh Ever

Georgia looks better than NC, Iowa is still a 50-50 tossup IMHO.

[exboyfil]

4. Wisconsin out of reach but Michigan still in play?

That doesn't sound right.

[AleksS]

8. I do wonder what's up with Michigan

The Senate race there is also looking rough. That would be a kick in the teeth to lose.

[roamer65]

14. Michigan isn't in play.

It will get called for Biden very quickly on Election eve.

[beachbumbob]

5. they pulled ad buys in both states a few weeks ago, right?

[James48]

28. I'm in Michigan and getting a ton of Trump ads

Especially on Youtube and Facebook.

Getting 2 or 3 Trump ads for every Biden ad, and getting perhaps six Trump ads per hour now.

I click on them a lot. It costs them more every time I click.

[James48]

35. I'm in Michigan and getting a ton of Trump ads

Especially on Youtube and Facebook.

Getting 2 or 3 Trump ads for every Biden ad, and getting perhaps six Trump ads per hour now.

I click on them a lot. It costs them more every time I click.

[Fiendish Thingy]

6. Trump isn't going to win PA, NV, AZ, or MI

And FL and NC are in doubt.

[Wounded Bear]

9. Texas. Win Texas and Trump is toast...

Burnt toast.

Burnt toast with shit smear.

[StClone]

16. Bidens takes Florida and it's Lights out for the Loser

[Politicub]

10. I added another vote for Biden in Georgia today

The wait in line was about an hour. They were moving people through pretty quickly.

It felt so good to cast that vote!

[Different Drummer]

21. I'm in Georgia as well and voted for Biden by mail.

Tracked my ballot and it was received and accepted yesterday.

[Statistical]

29. It will be cool to see blue extend down the east coast.

At one time VA, NC, SC, GA, and FL were all solidly Red. FL became more purple (although frustrating) then VA flipped. We could see GA and NC do it as well this year. Then it is just SC.

[former9thward]

11. Trump is having a rally in Wisconsin Saturday.

They would not be having a rally in a state they have given up in.

[Different Drummer]

22. He has one in Macon, Georgia sometime later today.

Fortunately, it's about two hours from where I live, so I'll be missing it.

[roamer65]

12. Dump will NOT win MI.

Any thought of it is pure folly.

[qazplm135]

13. So in reverse order

there's no way he's winning Michigan or Nevada so three is out.

There's no way he's winning Michigan so two is out.

In theory he could win these three states, but I don't see how if he's also lost Michigan and Wisconsin.

[MineralMan]

15. As well he might.

In fact, I think he should give up altogether and resign. That would please me a great deal, indeed.

[Different Drummer]

23. That's a nice thought.

Hopefully, he'll take you up on it.

[jcgoldie]

17. Looks to me like WI and MI are out for Trump, he has one path thats through Pennsylvania

And if he loses Florida thats out too.

[helpisontheway]

18. We were told the same thing in 2020. Hillary had so many options and

he had a narrow path. They said he needed an inside straight. Well, he won.. 😕

[CaptYossarian]

34. He also had James Comey.

Keeping 200,000 voters disenfranchised in WI didn't help either. The folks responsible for that are now killing us here by suing Governor Evers every other week.

They were Gerry-Koch-mandered in office.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

43. Hillary was never this far ahead at this point

four years ago.

[gopiscrap]

19. I have the feeling Biden will win in Iowa but Georgia I think is a stretch

OH and FL are crap shoots, specially FL because I don't they have had a clean election in decades if ever

[bucolic_frolic]

37. Stacy Abrams has been quiet

Thought she'd bring the magic to Georgia

[Rice4VP]

42. I think he can win in Texas with the record turnout

Beto always says that Texas is a low turnout state. Now they have counties with 95% registered to vote. 2.6M have already voted after in person voting started two days ago. 2M+ of that was done in person.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/TX.html

The TOTAL votes in 2016 was 8.5M

[kskiska]

20. Mr. My Pillow is his campaign chairman in Minnesota

and has been said to be in the running for Governor in the near future.

[Baitball Blogger]

24. C'mon Florida!

Baby needs new shoes!

[yellowcanine]

25. I think Biden is going to win Florida, Arizonan Michigan and Pennsylvania.

So what happens in Ohio, Iowa and North Carolina won't matter, though I think he is going to win at least one of these three and he has a shot at winning all of them. I also still think he is going to get one of the traditionally red states like Texas, maybe Alaska. And Arkansas could be a sleeper win for Biden.

[OldManTarHeel]

31. Though I don't trust Fl, the other 3 I strongly agree with

[Stuart G]

45. I agree completely ..Biden could win them all...Trump is a buffoon

It ain't a secret anymore. Now millions more know it from the last 2 or 3 weeks. He has proved that in
many ways..
...He spent little time dealing with the Covid-19 crisis. He didn't care. Trump only cares about himself.
...The problem with, ......"Trump only cares about himself. is..................

that idea is supposed to be a secret...and it is supposed to be that Trump "appears to care about others, families, women, children.. etc."...but it has not been what was presented. ...

The show that Trump sold is....."Trump only cares about himself."

and most people will not buy that show, and they will not go to the movie either. Trump thought he could get away with selling the show, but he failed, and we will see the failure on November 3rd in the eve. Trump thinks he can get away with anything...but he won't. ???Why???
Trump is a buffoon that is why, and now, everyone knows it...(except his cult, and they have been downsized somewhat)

[DFW]

27. A Republican presidential candidate giving up on Minnesota AND Wisconsin and still hoping to win

That is sort of like a sprinter giving up on his left foot and still hoping to win the 100 yard dash.

[Sherman A1]

32. K&R

[oasis]

33. Wisky&Minny. I'll take it.

:

[bucolic_frolic]

36. Well that's today. Wait until Biden steps on the gas

I mean we do have momentum, issues, voters. This is not 2016, 2004. Dems also have the cash they need. That's a first.

[Rice4VP]

38. He's going to Wisconsin this weekend.

[paleotn]

40. He's doing worse in PA and MI than WI...

NV is out of reach as is ME 2. He's pissed off older people in FL (20 point swing in over 65's vs. 2016) and as the retired vote goes, so goes FL. He's in real trouble in NC. GA could be in play. They're grasping at straws. It won't work.

[GoCubsGo]

41. Not before he dropped a load of COVID-19 on them.

Just as he's doing for all these other swing states he will eventually give up on. He needs to be put on trial at The Hague.

[C Moon]

44. I'm just speechless that Trump can win ANY state.

[Stuart G]

46. I agree, I don't think that Trump will win any state...none...& I predicted that

Last edited Fri Oct 16, 2020, 07:28 PM - Edit history (1)

...in "Creative Speculation" forum..Hit the link below to see my prediction on April 11, this year.....

https://www.democraticunderground.com/113512426

Also....I need you to know that.................................................................

"I have felt a great disturbance in the force"


.................................in favor of Joe!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!................

[C Moon]

47. I hope you are and were right!

[Captain Zero]

48. Trump will win Indiana. The Dumb is deep here.

nt

[Stuart G]

50. Trump will NOT WIN Indiana....Yes, .."The Dumb is deep here" The DUMB IS DEEP EVERYWHERE.......

....BUT.........there is one place where the DUMB IS DEEPEST OF ALL...........................................

..........................."IN DONALD TRUMP'S BRAIN".....................................................

.....Donald thinks he has a very smart brain, but he treats people like sh** all the time......

That is not the sign of someone who is "smart" but the sign of someone who is not smart.
Further, Donald thinks he can get away with treating people like that......"ALL THE TIME"

BUT......he isn't smart enough to realize that the show is over, and he has to leave the theater...
Donald thinks the show goes on as long as he desires....But his time is up, he needs to go now..
There is nothing on the screen, and all the actors and show assistants have gone home... And,
most important, Donnie doesn't have a clue..He is lost in a sea of ego mania .....

........Yes, .... "Donnie hasn't a clue, and you can take that from Stu.

[Hassler]

49. By election day, Chump will only be campaigning in Oklahomastan, West Virginia

And Alabamastan.

[Stuart G]

51. I like that new word....."OKLAHOMASTAN." Great new word....K and R that word!!!!