Democrats routinely get 40%+ of the vote in those states, due to the black population. It’s not like Idaho or Oklahoma or something, where Democrats are lucky to get 30% of the vote.

The problem in the Deep South is getting to about 45% of the vote, with whites voting in such unison.

bearsfootball516

(6,732 posts)

5. Both are unlikely.

Reply to yellowcanine (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 05:24 PM

Oct 2020

Harrison will get closer than Biden, but he's still a clear underdog.

Statistical

(19,264 posts)

6. No but it doesn't matter.

Reply to yellowcanine (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 05:27 PM

Oct 2020

If Biden ends up anywhere close in SC it means he has likely swept NC, GA, and FL.

SC is one of those states like TX or AK. If Biden were to win SC it doesn't matter because it would be going from 400 EV to 409 EV. In any race that SC matters Biden wouldn't win SC. It is about 10 points more conservative than the national average.

Harrison is more conservative than Biden but if he wins it will be barely and as a longshot and almost certainly Biden will still end up losing the state.

moonscape

(5,796 posts)

7. Wafflers will come home to Graham. It's SC :( n/t

Reply to yellowcanine (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 05:31 PM

Oct 2020

LakeArenal

(29,949 posts)

8. Some folks call wishful thinking, visualizing success.

Reply to yellowcanine (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 05:50 PM

Oct 2020

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)

9. Unfortunately I on't see SC going blue this time around

Reply to yellowcanine (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 06:15 PM

Oct 2020

sfstaxprep

(10,599 posts)

10. It's A Shame That Is Stephen Colbert's Home State

Reply to yellowcanine (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 06:40 PM

Oct 2020

I know he talks favorably about it, but Wow! Don't think I could ever be happy calling it home with my views.

Xolodno

(7,367 posts)

11. Well...

Reply to yellowcanine (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 07:05 PM

Oct 2020

..it is wishful thinking.

If we get close, not good for Trump.

If we get no call after polls close and told it may take a long time....Trump is in serious trouble.

If it gets called for Biden a few hours after the poll's close. It's over.

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