State Poll Disconnect Explained? Most National Polls Use Little If Any Landlines

[Rule of Claw]

TIPP uses 20 percent. They are the outlier now; were off in 2016 by 5 points.

State polling is still doing a lot of IVR and landline. This might explain the disconnect in some state polls to national.

Polls can be different. Ipsos is an online poll, which today in PA is about where Joe's own internals are.

But there were 50-45 a few weeks back when Q and Monmouth showed more than double digits there for Joe.

This much I believe-an emerging story from this election however it turns out will be the zero sum game played amongst pollsters and which pollsters can move forward versus have to completely re-evaluate their methodologies.

Polling will be almost exclusively online in four years in my opinion.