I Looked At The TIPP And NY Times Poll-

[Rule of Claw]

Somebody is way wrong. NYTimes has Joe up 9 with only 50 percent support with Hispanics.

Tipp has Joe up 2 with 65 percent of them.

So he would either be tied in TIPP at the NYTimes Hispanic number or up by 11 in the NYTimes poll with the TIPP number.

NY Times has him 44 with whites. Good number. But even TIPP is at 41 with whites, not as good, but projects to a 53-45 national vote tally.

I do believe the race has tightened to what I call baseline, everyone in their partisan corners so to speak.

But the issue with TIPP is their turnout model looks to be something like 75 percent white.

It won't be higher than 70. Might be 68. NY Times had it at 67. But because of the odd Latino split it would only drop him to plus 8 if I set NYT model at 70 white.

So you tell me. Polls taken 10-15-19 TIPP, 10-15-18 NYT. Did I miss something on news last night?

[dchill]

1. "There are eight million stories in the naked city. ...

...This has been one of them."