Trump gaining in PA?

[Proud Liberal Dem]

One of my friends posted on FB short time ago that Trump is gaining steam in PA? Is there a new poll out or something?

[Loki Liesmith]

1. No

[TwilightZone]

2. Facebook is not a valid source.

For anything, really.

And, no, he's not. Even Rasmussen has Biden +3.

[Polybius]

5. +3 is not enough

He was +10 two weeks ago.

[TwilightZone]

6. Not with Rasmussen he wasn't.

[lagomorph777]

7. Right, but Rasmussen is shite. Add 5 points to Biden.

[Turin_C3PO]

22. His poll average in PA

is pretty steady. It may tighten a bit but I'm not worried. Biden will carry the state.

[Claustrum]

3. I think there is a recent poll +1 on Biden

It was Trafalgar yesterday.

Edit: Not saying it's a good pollster. Just that some people cherry pick this poll to show the "tightening" narrative.

[lagomorph777]

9. HAHAHAAAA! Trafalgar!

Come on, don't expect to be taken seriously if you cite Trafalgar. You can do better than that.

[Claustrum]

13. Look at my edit

I said they are a bad pollster but some people cherry pick it for the "tightening" narrative. But there is bad polls out there (yes, they have a huge right lean and should not be taken seriously).

[lagomorph777]

16. OK - gotcha.

Have to (at a minimum) compare the same poll to itself.

Better, follow the average at 538.

[Claustrum]

17. I completely agree with you. That's why I did the edit before you even responded.

Though, the OP asked if there is polls showing PA tightening and the fact is there is. Just that the pollster should (at the very least) be taken skeptically.

[Under The Radar]

8. Polling was bad enough for Trump to pull television ads in Pennsylvania

[PTWB]

10. Don't use FB.

It is full of conservative propaganda no better than Fox News (and often much worse).

[Miguelito Loveless]

11. Facebook? Seriously?

[Proud Liberal Dem]

24. Well

I assumed he was referring to a poll put out.

[SoonerPride]

12. The less information you get from Facebook, the more informed you will be.

[vercetti2021]

14. Facebook lmao

Don't listen to dumbass Facebook.

Last time I saw, Joe was up in PA by 5.

[budkin]

15. Nope

Been the same Biden +6 for a bit

[NRaleighLiberal]

18. please stop!

[BGBD]

19. Rcp

Has a bad methodology for how they cal averages. Use 538

[USALiberal]

20. Quit reading Facebook FFS! Nt

[Politicub]

21. Maybe your friend saw a sign in someone's yard?

[Fiendish Thingy]

23. 538 PA avg: Biden +6.4%, 538 odds: Biden 87/Trump 13 (same as national odds)

[grantcart]

25. PA has tightened 1-2 points

Virtually every other state is frozen or Biden is increasing.

It is going to tighten in Florida

On the other hand GA TX and OH are tightening our way, tied or pulling ahead

(Cannot believe someone alerted on this.

[Locutusofborg]

26. The most recent PA polls

Latest Pennsylvania polls:
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research--Oct. 18-19--47% Trump/50% Biden
HarrisX Oct. 12-15--46%Trump/51% Biden
Ipsos Oct. 13-19--45% Trump/49% Biden
Reuters Oct. 13-19 --45% Trump/49% Biden
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... nsylvania/
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6861.html

[Thekaspervote]

27. FYI: PA has only voted once for a gop prez in the last 24 yrs

[helpisontheway]

34. And the one they voted for is running right now. Nt

[FakeNoose]

28. No if anything he's losing

Pennsylvania will vote for Joe Biden, at least ENOUGH OF US will!
Many of us have already voted.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

29. Just to clarify

One of my friends (not a Trumper at all) was doing one of those 270 to Win maps and mentioned that PA was tightening, hence the reason for my post. I had assumed that he had a valid poll-related reason to say that. I am not blindly trusting everything I read on FB or I wouldn't be here asking.

[Trenzalore]

30. He's dumping all his remaining resources here

Visiting every other day.

I'm not sure if that is getting him any traction.

[SlogginThroughIt]

31. Why are people on this site SUCK jackasses?

OP clearly wasn’t saying that the info that they got off of facebook was a reliable source, just that they had heard something on FB. And the people just unload on them. Lately I see a ton of posts on this site flaming people for their posts. It really is a turnoff.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

35. Thanks for the support

I didn't expect such a angry reaction.

[SlogginThroughIt]

36. Yeah I just don't understand

Yeah I just don't understand why it is wrong for someone to say "hey I heard something somewhere does this sound right to you guys?"

Unreal.

[radius777]

38. Because there's alot of disinformation out there

especially this close to an election.

There are lots of valid posts that raise concerns about poll tightening etc - where the source is properly cited, or if no source is available a more thorough description should be made. I see later on the original poster made a clarification about the source of the info - that should've been included in the original post.

[SlogginThroughIt]

39. Take a look at how long the OP has been here.

Before jumping to this idea that the poster may be spreading disinformation it is helpful to look and see how many times the poster has posted and been a member.

[radius777]

41. Still, people can inadvertently spread disinfo.

And there have indeed been high-count posters over the years who were subsequently banned and revealed to be trolls. Not saying the OP falls into that category, just that vigilance is required in this day and age.

[tormadjax]

37. The Quarantine Quarrelers?

Cranky from being shut in so much maybe?

[SlogginThroughIt]

40. Quite possible!

You might be right.

[DarthDem]

32. Nope

[BlueWavePsych]

33. Stop reading FB. See all PA polls here ...

https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/pennsylvania/

Also, latest Rasmussen (Repuglican leaning) has Biden +5
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/pennsylvania_biden_50_trump_45

[Demsrule86]

42. No three new polls today.

[TeamPooka]

43. pardon me while I trash this thread