Rasmussen PA Is Not 50-47 It Is 50-45 For Joe

[Rule of Claw]

Link to tweet

?s=20

Not plausible 100 percent of undecideds go to incumbent.

The actual number though is 50-45.

Of those certain to vote, 52-44. Spin to win, eh Ras?

[LizBeth]

1. Wow, and I am seeing a lot of that the Independents are going Repub and best 50/50, where I see more

Independent hav3e moved toward the Democratic Party. I think when we see the number of independents we can more so assume it is to Democratic favor.

Am I wrong?

[Rule of Claw]

2. This poll is actually more favorable to Joe

than it has been recently.

While it was showing ties other pollsters were showing 8-10 leads for Joe.

This is their guys-however this is all they could credibly model.

[LizBeth]

3. +1

[OrlandoDem2]

4. Come on, Philly suburbs! You must show up like never before!

[Sugarcoated]

9. You should see the sea of signs in Montgomery County

It's glorious!

[Trenzalore]

5. I don't personally know anyone who is undecided

The only undecided people I know are former Trump supporters who are debating between not voting at all or voting for Biden.

[regnaD kciN]

6. What this would seem to mean...

...is that, if we get a "2016 scenario," where undecided voters break heavily for Trump at the last minute, Biden still wins, albeit narrowly.

Remember that Trump's victory margin in PA last time was around 0.1%. By that standard, a 3% lead is pretty big.

[Rule of Claw]

7. 5 percent

is a 300-350k vote margin.

That is not close.

[world wide wally]

8. You're not considering the Kanye vote

[rockfordfile]

10. It's a right-wing pollster.

I could careless