Nate Silver's last comment - interesting

[NRaleighLiberal]

NATE SILVER
OCT. 22, 10:12 PM
To just ground things here for a minute, there’s 20 minutes left in the debate, and we can argue about who’s done better (I have a fairly strong opinion on that), but Trump really needs some sort of knockout blow or major Biden gaffe given his poor position in the race, and we certainly haven’t seen that so far.

[luvallpeeps]

1. So coy. n/t

[Awsi Dooger]

2. Nate obviously believes Biden is winning

Based on his prior comments

[BGBD]

3. What he is saying

Is that Biden had a substantial lead in this race and this is the last major event with a big audience.

Trump needed to change the race tonight and this debate did not do it. More than likely this debate will be forgotten by Monday.

[NRaleighLiberal]

4. absolutely!

[Awsi Dooger]

5. Yes, but Nate also believes Biden is clearly winning this debate

That's obvious based on his prior comments during the string. At one point another 538 member posted that Trump was doing well. Nate immediately broke in and said maybe on substance, but Biden was doing well on style and substance

Nate doesn't comment as much as the others so that really stood out

[mysteryowl]

6. Well, what I saw was not a debate. I shut it off.

[fishwax]

7. actually he said the opposite -- that trump might be doing well on tone, but not substance

that, of course, was only halfway through the debate ... and I think trump's second half wasn't as strong on tone as the first

Nate Silver
Oct. 22, 9:41 pm

I don’t think Trump’s doing well, particularly. Maybe on the tone, but not on the substance. And Biden’s been pretty good on both tone and substance.

[Awsi Dooger]

8. Thanks

I mixed it up. But that was midway through the debate and it's obvious what Nate believed toward who was winning

[fishwax]

10. yeah, definitely obvious on that

I agree with Nate on this, but then again I'm biased

[AdamGG]

14. His Adderall was titrated better this time

but his content had just as much lies and grandiosity.

[Trenzalore]

9. Viewership on this debate will be down

It's competing with a football game that is still competitive.

[Yavin4]

11. Maybe Trump can get Biden to tuck his shirt in. n/t

[IllinoisBirdWatcher]

17. I thought that was Rudy's job. N/T

[malaise]

12. He's got nothing to add

here ByeDon!

nd Biden gets the last work!

[UTUSN]

13. TAPPER: "Joe BIDEN did *fine*" - & I say, his closing was excellent.

TAPPER went on about BIDEN, "a fine job."

[Warpy]

15. His boasting about the stock market hasn't done it

since most people, even those with years into a 401K, aren't seeing that much appreciation over the last couple of years. It leveled out pre Covid, dropped like a rock, and hasn't quite recovered to the previous record, not even with all the shenanigans being pulled to shove money that would be going to families to keep them housed and fed shoved into Wall Street instead.

Ues, it's going to go down, but it will do that no matter who gets in because people are going to be dipping into their portfolios and selling off poor performers as dividends drop. Dumdum's only idea will be to gut Social Security and put that money into the market. Biden might have a few better ideas.

Dumdum might have delivered that knockout punch to himself with that one. I sincerely hope so.

[Wounded Bear]

16. Trump needed a home run...

He hit a bloop single.