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Demovictory9

(37,113 posts) Sun Oct 25, 2020, 12:30 AM Oct 2020

Trump Vs. Biden Race Tilts Toward Democrat After Last Debate, IBD/TIPP Presidential Poll Shows

https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-favors-democrat-after-debate-ibd-tipp-presidential-poll/

The latest IBD/TIPP Trump vs. Biden poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden with a wider lead over President Donald Trump. The tracking poll, which includes five days of polling, includes only one day after the last debate, but the initial sign doesn't suggest a big change in the race, the IBD/TIPP presidential poll update shows.

The latest 2020 election poll update shows the Democratic challenger leading the Republican incumbent by 6.4 points, 50.7%-44.3%, in a four-way presidential poll of likely voters. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen has the support of 2.2%, and Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins 0.7%.

2020 Presidential Poll Trend: Four-Way Race
The IBD/TIPP 2020 Presidential Election Tracking Poll shows Biden with his biggest lead in the past week. Biden's lead peaked at 8.6 points in IBD/TIPP's Oct. 13 presidential poll. The race's tightest point came on Tuesday, Oct. 20, when Biden led by 2.3 points.

Biden's support has climbed back over the key 50% level for the first time in more than a week. Trump's support has backslid after peaking at 46%, right below his 2016 vote total, on Oct. 21.

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Trump Vs. Biden Race Tilts Toward Democrat After Last Debate, IBD/TIPP Presidential Poll Shows (Original Post) Demovictory9 Oct 2020 OP

Until next week when it, for no apparent reason, tilts back toward Trump. Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 #1

I think you're right. It shouldn't be that volatile. Especially over such a short time period. Dream Girl Oct 2020 #3

Outliers gonna lie. Nt Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #4

I think the general consensus was.. ananda Oct 2020 #2

This poll has wild swings Wanderlust988 Oct 2020 #5

Exactly...not sure what they are doing other than losing their reputation as a reliable pollster Thekaspervote Oct 2020 #6

This is called covering all your bases. Yavin4 Oct 2020 #7

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

1. Until next week when it, for no apparent reason, tilts back toward Trump.

Reply to Demovictory9 (Original post)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 12:42 AM

Oct 2020

This poll is all over the place. I'm not sure I am buying any of it.

Dream Girl

(5,111 posts)

3. I think you're right. It shouldn't be that volatile. Especially over such a short time period.

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 01:02 AM

Oct 2020

Fiendish Thingy

(23,227 posts)

4. Outliers gonna lie. Nt

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 01:08 AM

Oct 2020

ananda

(35,141 posts)

2. I think the general consensus was..

Reply to Demovictory9 (Original post)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 12:46 AM

Oct 2020

that Trump did not land any real knockout blows
in the debate, and that Biden held his own.

I would expect the polls to reflect that view,
and they do.

We got this!

Wanderlust988

(784 posts)

5. This poll has wild swings

Reply to Demovictory9 (Original post)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 03:06 AM

Oct 2020

I think a couple of weeks ago, Biden was ahead by 3, then by 10, then by 5, then by 2. Now he's up again quite a bit. Next week, he'll be 1 point ahead. This is one poll I can't heavily invested in. That being said, it's good Biden went up after the debate.

Thekaspervote

(35,820 posts)

6. Exactly...not sure what they are doing other than losing their reputation as a reliable pollster

Reply to Wanderlust988 (Reply #5)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 03:54 AM

Oct 2020

Yavin4

(37,182 posts)

7. This is called covering all your bases.

Reply to Demovictory9 (Original post)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 03:59 AM

Oct 2020

If you have a poll for every possible outcome, then you can never be wrong. Consequently, you can never be right as well.

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