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Happyhippychick

(8,379 posts) Sun Oct 25, 2020, 10:44 PM Oct 2020

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This message was self-deleted by its author (Original Post) Happyhippychick Oct 2020 OP

But she beat him edhopper Oct 2020 #1

538 rates this poll highly as part of their aggregation of the polls. NRaleighLiberal Oct 2020 #2

Yes, that's what got me interested. Happyhippychick Oct 2020 #3

this poll watching and analysis can get really addictive, hey? NRaleighLiberal Oct 2020 #5

Yeah, I've become obsessed. Happyhippychick Oct 2020 #7

Their popular vote projection was off in 2016. TwilightZone Oct 2020 #4

Well your premise is wrong. If they were predicting Trump ahead on the national grantcart Oct 2020 #6

IBD/TIPP didn't accurately predict 2016. clutterbox1830 Oct 2020 #8

They like the brag that they were right in 2016 Proud liberal 80 Oct 2020 #9

edhopper

(33,575 posts)

1. But she beat him

Reply to Happyhippychick (Original post)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 10:50 PM

Oct 2020

by 3 million votes.

NRaleighLiberal

(60,014 posts)

2. 538 rates this poll highly as part of their aggregation of the polls.

Reply to Happyhippychick (Original post)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 10:50 PM

Oct 2020

Happyhippychick

(8,379 posts)

3. Yes, that's what got me interested.

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Reply #2)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 10:51 PM

Oct 2020

NRaleighLiberal

(60,014 posts)

5. this poll watching and analysis can get really addictive, hey?

Reply to Happyhippychick (Reply #3)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 10:55 PM

Oct 2020

I suspect we will see lots of stuff released tomorrow...getting down to the wire!

Happyhippychick

(8,379 posts)

7. Yeah, I've become obsessed.

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Reply #5)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 10:57 PM

Oct 2020

I'm holding my breath for the next 8 days!

TwilightZone

(25,470 posts)

4. Their popular vote projection was off in 2016.

Reply to Happyhippychick (Original post)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 10:54 PM

Oct 2020

They had Trump winning the popular vote 45 to 43. The final result, as we all know, was Clinton by 2%.

They also predicted Gary Johnson would get 8%, which was way off.

https://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll/

It's funny that they take credit for correctly predicting a Trump win, but I can't find where they did an EC prediction. If their basis for the claim is popular vote only, it's meaningless.

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

6. Well your premise is wrong. If they were predicting Trump ahead on the national

Reply to Happyhippychick (Original post)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 10:55 PM

Oct 2020

Vote they got it wrong not correct.

538 poll of polls had Hillary winning (Which she did) within 1 percent of the final

clutterbox1830

(395 posts)

8. IBD/TIPP didn't accurately predict 2016.

Reply to Happyhippychick (Original post)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 11:03 PM

Oct 2020

They had Trump beating Clinton by +2 National. Clinton beat Trump nation by 2.3%. so I wouldn't call that accurate.
So they were off by 4%.

I don't see them doing state polls.

Proud liberal 80

(4,167 posts)

9. They like the brag that they were right in 2016

Reply to Happyhippychick (Original post)

Sun Oct 25, 2020, 11:05 PM

Oct 2020

But they weren’t, Clinton won the popular vote....