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[Happyhippychick]

This message was self-deleted by its author (Happyhippychick) on Sun Oct 25, 2020, 11:07 PM. When the original post in a discussion thread is self-deleted, the entire discussion thread is automatically locked so new replies cannot be posted.

[edhopper]

1. But she beat him

by 3 million votes.

[NRaleighLiberal]

2. 538 rates this poll highly as part of their aggregation of the polls.

[Happyhippychick]

3. Yes, that's what got me interested.

[NRaleighLiberal]

5. this poll watching and analysis can get really addictive, hey?

I suspect we will see lots of stuff released tomorrow...getting down to the wire!

[Happyhippychick]

7. Yeah, I've become obsessed.

I'm holding my breath for the next 8 days!

[TwilightZone]

4. Their popular vote projection was off in 2016.

They had Trump winning the popular vote 45 to 43. The final result, as we all know, was Clinton by 2%.

They also predicted Gary Johnson would get 8%, which was way off.

https://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll/

It's funny that they take credit for correctly predicting a Trump win, but I can't find where they did an EC prediction. If their basis for the claim is popular vote only, it's meaningless.

[grantcart]

6. Well your premise is wrong. If they were predicting Trump ahead on the national

Vote they got it wrong not correct.

538 poll of polls had Hillary winning (Which she did) within 1 percent of the final

[clutterbox1830]

8. IBD/TIPP didn't accurately predict 2016.

They had Trump beating Clinton by +2 National. Clinton beat Trump nation by 2.3%. so I wouldn't call that accurate.
So they were off by 4%.


I don't see them doing state polls.

[Proud liberal 80]

9. They like the brag that they were right in 2016

But they weren’t, Clinton won the popular vote....