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***Public Opinion Strategies Poll(B+) of LVs*** Biden 55 Trump 41 (Original Post) Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 OP
Morning Consult -Biden +9 too Stallion Oct 2020 #1
Saw that Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #11
We will do well everywhere except Florida kansasobama Oct 2020 #2
I gotta hand it to you greenjar_01 Oct 2020 #5
At he very least he gets a participation trophy Sugarcoated Oct 2020 #8
Yep. About as subtle as a drunk rhino in a glassware store. marmar Oct 2020 #9
What you talking about? Doodley Oct 2020 #6
LOL Spazito Oct 2020 #10
Trump will point to the Rasmussen poll as evidence that the vote was rigged against him VMA131Marine Oct 2020 #3
If these polls are off by this much just a week before the election greenjar_01 Oct 2020 #4
I think this poll reflects reality very well. triron Oct 2020 #7

Johnny2X2X

(24,434 posts)
11. Saw that
Mon Oct 26, 2020, 01:52 PM
Oct 2020

Morning Consult does a low voter turnout and a high voter turnout model, both had Biden 52 Trump 43. Hints that maybe it doesn't matter if it's low or high voter turnout.

kansasobama

(1,750 posts)
2. We will do well everywhere except Florida
Mon Oct 26, 2020, 01:03 PM
Oct 2020

Where Miami-Dade has dumped us. Ironic. It is as if BLM never happened in Miami-Dade. How can Miami-Dade have so much apathy?

VMA131Marine

(5,334 posts)
3. Trump will point to the Rasmussen poll as evidence that the vote was rigged against him
Mon Oct 26, 2020, 01:06 PM
Oct 2020

Rasmussen has Trump’s approval rating at +6 (52-46). It’s ludicrous ... or literally everyone else is wrong.

 

greenjar_01

(6,477 posts)
4. If these polls are off by this much just a week before the election
Mon Oct 26, 2020, 01:08 PM
Oct 2020

Polling itself will have proved itself to have no validity. Assuming a turnout number of 140,000,000 (which some see as possibly low!) this poll is essentially projecting a national vote difference of nearly twenty million people. How many millions off can you be and still have validity? The polling average of 8-9 point difference (say, 54%-46%) projects somewhere in the area of ten million votes, greater than Obama's win in 2008. How could we have consistent polls in these regions (52-44, etc.)?

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Latest Discussions»General Discussion»***Public Opinion Strateg...