General Discussion

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts) Mon Oct 26, 2020, 05:43 PM Oct 2020

Democrats are crushing it in early votes in Maricopa County...

2020
Total: 1,157,731
R: 417,221
D: 452,025
O: 288,485

2016 - all early ballots returned prior to election day:
Total: 1,025,703
R: 421,566
D: 327,546
O: 276,591

Trump won this county by 46-43 in 2016. And Arizona by 3.5 points total.

Hillary finished with 702,907 votes in this county. So, likely over half that total has already voted.

11 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Democrats are crushing it in early votes in Maricopa County... (Original Post) Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 OP

My ignorance is appalling: what is 'O: 288,485' TY 634-5789 Oct 2020 #1

Other parties. Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 #2

Other - Independents, Libertarians, Greens, etc. sweetloukillbot Oct 2020 #3

HOLY CRAP! That's a goodly percentage!! 634-5789 Oct 2020 #4

Indies are about 1/3 sweetloukillbot Oct 2020 #6

That's what they're registered as, not who they're voting for. marybourg Oct 2020 #8

Thanks Mary saidsimplesimon Oct 2020 #10

Thanks! 634-5789 Oct 2020 #11

Perhaps 'Other'?, where party is not ID'ed SWBTATTReg Oct 2020 #5

That Other stat is significant kurtcagle Oct 2020 #7

Sinema won Maricopa by 4.2% in 2018 Awsi Dooger Oct 2020 #9

634-5789

(4,703 posts)

1. My ignorance is appalling: what is 'O: 288,485' TY

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 05:46 PM

Oct 2020

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

2. Other parties.

Reply to 634-5789 (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 05:47 PM

Oct 2020

sweetloukillbot

(12,744 posts)

3. Other - Independents, Libertarians, Greens, etc.

Reply to 634-5789 (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 05:47 PM

Oct 2020

634-5789

(4,703 posts)

4. HOLY CRAP! That's a goodly percentage!!

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Reply #3)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 05:48 PM

Oct 2020

sweetloukillbot

(12,744 posts)

6. Indies are about 1/3

Reply to 634-5789 (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 05:52 PM

Oct 2020

I think Republicans are around 34%
and Dems and Indies are around 32% each

marybourg

(13,659 posts)

8. That's what they're registered as, not who they're voting for.

Reply to 634-5789 (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 06:36 PM

Oct 2020

saidsimplesimon

(7,888 posts)

10. Thanks Mary

Reply to marybourg (Reply #8)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 06:46 PM

Oct 2020

When I was doing volunteer work for The League of Women Voters, decades ago (where does the time go) I registered as an Independent. I am now on the Democratic role.

634-5789

(4,703 posts)

11. Thanks!

Reply to marybourg (Reply #8)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 07:07 PM

Oct 2020

SWBTATTReg

(26,399 posts)

5. Perhaps 'Other'?, where party is not ID'ed

Reply to 634-5789 (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 05:49 PM

Oct 2020

kurtcagle

(2,660 posts)

7. That Other stat is significant

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 06:33 PM

Oct 2020

Independents have been going about 65-35 Biden. If that holds here, we're looking a roughly

640,000 votes for Biden
518,000 votes for Trump

(This also assumes no Ds for Trump or Rs for Biden).
This translates to Biden votes at 55% at this point.

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

9. Sinema won Maricopa by 4.2% in 2018

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Oct 26, 2020, 06:45 PM

Oct 2020

Definitely trending blue

I'm not a big turnout guy but I find myself rooting for high independent numbers everywhere. That block is going to decide the election

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