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Gallup -Obama (D) 50% Romney ($) 44% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 OP
The best part, tarheelsunc Sep 2012 #1
yes, good point. This appears to be a stable lead now.. post convention. DCBob Sep 2012 #5
Don't worry about Mitt..... Cali_Democrat Sep 2012 #2
It's a virtual dead heat! Curtland1015 Sep 2012 #3
It would be nice if the lead grows because 3 or 4 % is the margin of error. nt mucifer Sep 2012 #4
I Believe It's Sample Of 3,000 Voters DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #6
Given that it is Rasmussen, I will go with a 10% Obama lead. bluestate10 Sep 2012 #7

tarheelsunc

(2,117 posts)
1. The best part,
Sat Sep 29, 2012, 01:04 PM
Sep 2012

this lead came after the convention bounce had totally dissipated, and now it's just as big as the convention bounce. They can call it a sugar high or whatever they want, but this lead is reality now. And Mitt has no one to thank but himself for it.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
5. yes, good point. This appears to be a stable lead now.. post convention.
Sat Sep 29, 2012, 01:44 PM
Sep 2012

I suspect this is more a result of Mittens dumb comments about the 47%.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
2. Don't worry about Mitt.....
Sat Sep 29, 2012, 01:07 PM
Sep 2012

Apparently he's been practicing zingers for the debates and that will take him over the top.

DemocratSinceBirth

(102,007 posts)
6. I Believe It's Sample Of 3,000 Voters
Sat Sep 29, 2012, 01:50 PM
Sep 2012

That means the m.o.e is 2.1% at a .095 confidence

In other words there is a nineteen out of twenty chance Obama is leading anywhere from four to ten points in this poll.

bluestate10

(10,942 posts)
7. Given that it is Rasmussen, I will go with a 10% Obama lead.
Sat Sep 29, 2012, 07:23 PM
Sep 2012

Rasmussen has a historical bias toward the republican in his polls, that bias is larger than the MOE.

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