New Maine poll (Colby College): Biden +13 (ME-2 +4), Gideon +3

[brooklynite]

In what could be one of the final polls of the U.S. Senate race before Election Day, Democrat Sara Gideon continues to hold a narrow 3-point lead over Republican incumbent Susan Collins among likely Maine voters.

A survey of 879 individuals, developed and fielded by Colby College of Waterville, revealed that 46.6 percent of voters said they plan to vote for Gideon, compared to 43.4 percent for Collins. Independents Lisa Savage and Max Linn received 4.7 percent and 1.7 percent support, respectively, with 3.6 percent undecided. The poll was conducted Oct. 21-25 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

Gideon’s lead has been hovering around 3-5 points in nearly all public polling over the last three months.

“After $160 million spent, you might think there would be some movement,” said Dan Shea, chair of the Colby College Department of Government and the lead researcher on the poll.

The Colby poll also showed Vice President Joe Biden with a commanding 51-38 percent advantage over President Trump among Maine voters, although Biden’s lead shrinks to 4 points (46-42 percent) in the more conservative 2nd Congressional District, where Trump won four years ago and where his campaign has been focusing intently in recent weeks. Trump himself made a last-minute stop in Levant on Sunday.

https://www.pressherald.com/2020/10/28/gideon-maintains-narrow-3-point-lead-over-collins-in-latest-colby-college-poll/

[Sherman A1]

1. K&R

[Tom Rinaldo]

2. With ranked voting, who will supporters of Independents Lisa Savage and Max Linn shift to?

That can be the whole ballgame.

[dansolo]

3. I suspect they would pick Gideon over Collins

I think that the option for ranked choice voting is the only reason it is as close as it is.