*Poll Alert* B Rated Survey YOUGOV NAT'L POLL Biden 54% *Klansman* 43%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/nzc8dt85gn/econTabReport.pdf

Tidbit- I know a lot of folks discount national polls however as the popular vote margin increases the probability of a popular vote/Electoral College split decreases. Also, the *Klansman* is at 42% approval. Those are not re-elect numbers.

[TigressDem]

1. DUMP TRUMP nt

[aaaaaa5a]

2. The RCP Popular vote average in 2016 was dead on accurate.

This matters. If Biden wins by 7 or 8 nationally, he is GOING TO WIN in the electoral college.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. The

The percentage of a vote an incumbent receives is highly correlated with his approval rating. If voters like the job he or she is doing they rehire him or her. If they don't they don't.

[aaaaaa5a]

6. Good point. This puts DT at about 44-46 percent Nationally.

The National polling (again, which was accurate in 2016) backs this up.

This race today is:

Biden 54-56%
Trump 44-46%

This race is between 8-12 points Nationally. We are in blowout territory for modern Presidential elections. But must keep working.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. In the mid term exit polls Trump's approval was 45%

That's about the percentage of the vote the Rs got on the generic ballot.

[aaaaaa5a]

11. Yes. Lets remember. This race is amazingly stable.

The numbers haven't really moved much since the start.

Trump only had 46 percent of the electorate in 2016.

[greenjar_01]

5. That's correct

If we project a modest increase of turn-out to 142,000,000 (some are suggesting 150 or more, so this is a very conservative increase from the 137 million of 2016), the numbers in the YouGov poll suggest a national difference of over 15 million votes.

[aaaaaa5a]

9. Agreed. And its likely the total turnout will be over 150 million.

I like the early numbers out of Texas.

[SKKY]

3. That 18 - 29 number is HUGE!!! Given the reports that they voting early in much, much larger...

...numbers than they normally would, this is an amazing sign for what may be to come! I'm suddenly way, way more optimistic than I was 5 minutes ago. GOTV!!! GOTV!!! GOTV!!! GOTV!!!

[Mike 03]

7. Thanks for this good news.

Trump's 43% is a fascinating number. Although I thought his basement would be lower (37ish), that is the number that is sticking (42-43). That number has been amazingly consistent.

[aaaaaa5a]

10. Its still sad that 43% of the population is going to vote for him again. NT

[Cosmocat]

12. YEP

This country is SO broken.

We need to have the most epic campaign in our lives, billions of dollar spent, people all but crawling over broken glass and swimming through vats of acid to use their last breathe on this planet to vote, just to have a decent chance at keeping an unhinged sociopathic, russian asset one day of voting away from turning this country into a dictatorship from being reelected.

People need to realize that IF things go right next Tuesday, we are going to need this kind of passion and dedication in every election for the remainder of our lives to beat back the poison of "conservatism."

[CaptainTruth]

13. Good to see Biden at 54%. I've seen political analysts say...

...once a candidate polls above 50% it's hard for them to lose, even with the electoral college in the picture.

[marlakay]

14. Why do you consider yougov B rated?

I have been doing their polls or surveys for 15 yrs since they have been polling point.

They have excellent info on who we are, I have moved many times and voted in 3 states while answering their polls. They make it easy to change address. You get points for surveys but not why I do it, takes me a year to get $25 gift certificate.

I have noticed over the years that there seemed to be more republicans doing the surveys so they either added more dems or people have changed.

They ask very in depth questions about voting, started last spring are you going to vote, definitely, maybe, etc. who for in primary then general. Dem or repub, then regular or strong democrat. They ask what state you are in what county. They ask questions about what you believe in about economy, big government, environment, race, etc.

They ask a lot how often you follow the news then ask in a open box to tell them last 3 things you saw on news. So they know if you really are paying attention.

[samsingh]

15. According to 538 - national polls with a +8 Biden advantage transfers to a

majority of Electoral College votes as well.

[Sherman A1]

16. Superb

[warmfeet]

17. I was one of those surveyed.

I answered that I had already voted for Joe Biden.

My wife and I both voted for Joe and Kamala back in late September.

I can hardly wait until we have a real POTUS. It feels like forever since Barack and Joe were in office.