General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBaclava
(12,047 posts)Then forecast to tangle up with the winter storm and dump a ft of snow around NYC on Fri!
misanthrope
(7,408 posts)It has followed all the forecast models pretty well. The water at the shelf it is about to encounter is cooler and there is a strong dry, cold front to its immediate west -- the temperature at stations on the TX/LA border are already down in the mid 60s -- that will provide shear.
The issue is its forward speed. At 20 mph, it's moving faster than average so it won't provide as much time to weaken before landfall.
We've got our fingers and toes crossed here in Mobile because we're due to catch some bad winds from this. I'm expecting us to be without power for four days or so afterward, matching what we experienced last month with Sally.
There's another wave developing east of Nicaragua now, too. Only has a 20 percent chance of developing into a storm but we'll see.
Sooner or later, the proliferate climate change deniers in this area will change their minds, or die in denial.
Baclava
(12,047 posts)misanthrope
(7,408 posts)Zeta is still moving relatively NNE, with the eyewall making landfall any time now. It also shows the western and southern side of the storm weakening appreciably. If you look at virtual wind displays, it's easy to see why: all that cold, dry air getting sucked in from the front to its west.
Too bad Zeta's forward motion wasn't a little bit slower or the cold air/cooler water could have had a greater effect.
https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap?lat=30.681&lon=-88.089