General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums*** 6 Days Out... post your Electoral College predictions here ***
Even being pessimistic about Trump's possible gap-closing surge in Florida (and even granting Trump hangs on in Texas, Georgia, and Iowa where Biden has been doing surprisingly well), I'm calling it a 324-214 win for Biden. That's me thinking with my well-deserved Democratic paranoia. The good news is that, except for Indiana, I think Trump will be completely pushed out of the Great Lakes region, which gave him his faux upset last time.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/PRP9r
If I thought with my heart and Biden prevails in Florida, with all its usual shenanigans, it'd be 353-185.
Share your predictions in this thread
doc03
(35,325 posts)NameAlreadyTaken
(977 posts)Initech
(100,063 posts)This is entirely depending on Texas and assuming Florida stays red. And Dems pick up Senate seats in: AZ (Kelley), SC (Harrison), GA (Ossoff and Warnock), and TX (Hager).
Laelth
(32,017 posts)... than we do of Hegar winning. If Hegar wins, Biden has Texas in the bag. I am not expecting either to happen.
-Laelth
Initech
(100,063 posts)Laelth
(32,017 posts)-Laelth
169 maggot.
I believe we can be that optimistic.
Laelth
(32,017 posts)-Laelth
NorthOf270
(290 posts)Laelth
(32,017 posts)Perhaps I did not initially count the one EV from NE-2, but, otherwise, I think you nailed it. (I edited to add that single electoral vote).
Six days out, mind you. Things can change.
-Laelth
Bucky
(53,998 posts)Having looked at those swing states, I wonder if I was too optimistic about Ohio. That state has been devolving into a large Indiana lately.
YessirAtsaFact
(2,064 posts)nm
NorthOf270
(290 posts)Texas has always been a case of I believe it when I see it.
Ohio voted for Sherrod Brown. Texas never seems to go for a Dem statewide.
Again, this is minus shenanigans.
honest.abe
(8,678 posts)Add Texas!
NorthOf270
(290 posts)I don't think we're there yet.
W_HAMILTON
(7,862 posts)Quixote1818
(28,929 posts)Laelth
(32,017 posts)Six days out, mind you. Anything can change.
-Laelth
Buckeye_Democrat
(14,853 posts)Hope Biden/Harris win Ohio, but I'm not optimistic... especially with the absentee ballot "accidents" from the Trump-supporting printing company in the major-Democratic counties.
mnhtnbb
(31,384 posts)so I go along with you on the rest.
Buckeye_Democrat
(14,853 posts)That was the 2008 electoral college result, and I expect this one will be similar.
Good guys.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Bucky
(53,998 posts)I think by 11/11/20 we'll have a final EC count. States to worry about include North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Florida, where Republicans will try the hardest to throw out as many absentee, mail-in, and early voting ballots.
I wonder if this could actually hurt them in Florida, where the late breaking votes are pointed in Trump's direction.
MissB
(15,805 posts)Ill be watching PA, MI and OH for early clues.
Bucky
(53,998 posts)Quixote1818
(28,929 posts)Biden wins FL, NC, AZ, IA, misses GA, TX and Ohio by a hair.
Bucky
(53,998 posts)Pisces
(5,599 posts)ananda
(28,858 posts)And we take back the Senate!
panader0
(25,816 posts)Roland99
(53,342 posts)DIVINEprividence
(443 posts)and a bunch of other places no one expects.
aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)I am going with what I think is the worst case scenario for us.
Biden 306
Trump 232
I am of course hoping for a much bigger win.
roamer65
(36,745 posts)I think he will take TX, GA, NC and OH.
Binkie The Clown
(7,911 posts)You can make book on that!
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)set new record for 1908 for voter participation
jalan48
(13,859 posts)Or, 5-4 Trump if decided by the SCOTUS.
cry baby
(6,682 posts)I think therell be shenanigans in FL.
I think well put the blue wall back up.
vercetti2021
(10,156 posts)Tribetime
(4,685 posts)It could very well be over 400 for Joe
413-125 I agree 👍
Demsrule86
(68,552 posts)ironflange
(7,781 posts)Chasing Dreams
(415 posts)We have all the money, moxie, and momentum. Trump and the Republicans have the stock market and economy in free-fall, and Covid is out of control. The polls are just beginning to catch these death throes, but are understating the vast extent of the collapse. All of the current battlegrounds go Biden. Plus Kansas, Missouri, Montana, and South Carolina. Thirty Five states.
Oh, and the Senate? 58-42, Dems. Plus a net gain of 15 congressional seats, and state houses all over the country. Reapportionment of Congress based on 2020 Census next year should put us in a strong position for a decade...
vercetti2021
(10,156 posts)Like whoa
Chasing Dreams
(415 posts)But no one above has gone that far, and someone needed to!
And it somehow feels possible, not just wishful imaginary thinking
Chili
(1,725 posts)J_William_Ryan
(1,753 posts)Biden flips MI, WI, and PA.
There remains a great deal of fear, ignorance, bigotry, racism and hate.
Bucky
(53,998 posts)Fighting close
LeftInTX
(25,258 posts)I think Biden will flip MI and PA, but skeptical of WI.
If we don't carry WI or AZ we're stuck with Trump
Zeus69
(391 posts)This is my nightmare map:
Trump only needs an upset in PA to win it all. Because if he can win PA, he can win in FL, AZ, IA, NC. And with a large error percentage in these mail-in ballots, a 5 or 6% Biden lead in PA could evaporate overnight.
[link:|
LeftInTX
(25,258 posts)He takes PA but loses WI instead.
I think WI is more of a challenge.
Response to Bucky (Original post)
LeftInTX This message was self-deleted by its author.
LeftInTX
(25,258 posts)All the brown will go to Trump. I do not trust the polls.