+81,581 New Cases Today, highest ever, 1,030 New Deaths........

[USALiberal]

WorldOMeters

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

[bullimiami]

1. It's just "The Winning"

[LisaL]

2. Trump did promise US will be #1.

He just forgot to mention it will be in covid cases.

[USALiberal]

3. +1000! nt

[Buckeye_Democrat]

4. I expected as much earlier today...

... when it was at 35,000 in the early afternoon and less than half the states reporting.

And the Trump administration is pretending they ended it! Unbelievable.

[USALiberal]

5. This should be front page news! nt

[BigmanPigman]

6. Look at the bar graph for New Cases

If you follow the curve we'll be at 100,000 a day in two weeks.

[USALiberal]

7. Wow! Nt

[Ms. Toad]

9. Less than -

A quick graph puts us there as early as Nov 5.

It's hard to predict since there is such a weekend-dependent curve. But it's an exponential up, rather than a straight line so it curving up faster.

[BigmanPigman]

12. You're right. Today was 91,500!

[Ms. Toad]

13. I played around with it last night and was in the ballpark of 90,000 for today.

It's such a zig-zag, it's much harder for me to predict than earlier, when weekends were only slight dips.

[coti]

14. It will be at the very least quite close tomorrow. nt

[Ms. Toad]

15. If the increase between Thursday and Friday is similar to what it has been the last 3 weeks

tomorrow's total will be about 98,395 (average of 7.5% increase)

The range would be: 97,480(6.5% - 3 weeks ago) - 99.768 (9% - last week)


Looking this week's data - compared to the same day the prior week the increase is similar in terms of a prediction:

18% (monday - monday), 21%, 27%, and 22.5%). The average of those would be 22%.

Last Friday was 81,427. A 22% increase over last Friday's number would put us at: 99,463. (Range from 96,083 -103,168)


So - either way you look at it - pretty close to 100,000 (possibly over)

[Blue_true]

11. My belief?

We won’t come close to 100,000. Local and state governments in a lot of places panicked two weeks ago and implemented restrictions and mask mandates. We will soon see the outcome of the restrictions and mask wearing mandates, my belief is they will cause numbers of infections to start decreasing. But we will see large COVID19 death numbers soon because of the lag between infections and deaths.

[Ms. Toad]

16. There's too much momemtum (quantity of cases) to turn that fast.

Last edited Fri Oct 30, 2020, 07:49 PM - Edit history (1)

It's like trying to turn a cruise ship, instead of the ferry we could have turned more quickly if they had started earlier.

We may hit 100,000 tomorrow (probably a coin toss).

If we don't hit it tomorrow, one of my models puts it on Wedneday, the other puts it on Thursday of next week.

[Blue_true]

17. You may be right.

I don’t normally drive after 6pm on a Friday, but today I did. The chain restaurants on the main highway in my city looked packed, based upon the vehicles in the parking lots as I drive by. There is no way social distancing could be followed and since masks can’t be kept on by diners, a lot of people were exposing themselves.

[Ms. Toad]

18. It's at 98,525 already today - with a little over an hour yet to go.

Not something I enjoy being right about - but aside from lack of compliance, it is so much harder to slow down the growth when it is so widespread.

[Quixote1818]

8. We usually peak on Friday so we will likely hit over 90,000 or even 100,000 by Friday. nt

[Ms. Toad]

10. Likely over 90,000.

I would be surprised, but not shocked, to see 100,000 by Friday.