New Florida Poll (Marist, A+): Biden +4

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

[Sherman A1]

1. Cool 😎

Very cool 😎

[beachbumbob]

2. my gut feeling with polls, they are underestimating Biden/Democratic support

look at the demographic breakout to begin with. The rise in the under 30yr old voter is not given the weight nor is the female vote. All good for us in the end for sure

[Buckeye_Democrat]

5. I suspect the same.

It wouldn't surprise me at all if the pollsters over-corrected based on the 2016 results.

[Johnny2X2X]

3. This was tied the last time they reported

Silver said as much yesterday, but some of the states are having their averages bogged down by low quality polls right now. And nationally it’s happened too. He expects the high quality polls that come in the rest of the week to move things more towards Joe. He specifically said he expects more of the +10 to +12 polls for Joe nationally from the highly rated pollsters.

With the states the outliers are really making a difference. FL might be +4 right now, but some garbage pro Trump pollsters are making it seem like almost a tossup. It’s not a tossup, Joe is a 2-1 favorite in FL.

[Lochloosa]

4. Florida started counting mail in on the 22nd.

Mine has already been counted.

They could call FL early Tuesday night.

[onlyadream]

6. And yet, as I'm reading the OP, MSNBC is reporting Biden down one point.

These polls are killing me. Just can’t wait for this to be over.

[beachbumbob]

7. kinda ignore the noise. As long as we all vote we will win

[RDANGELO]

8. They have Biden winning 45% of the white vote.

Hillary got 32%.

[lagomorph777]

9. Is it +4, or +5? Another poster says it's 51 to 46 in the SAME poll.

I don't click on TWIT so can't directly compare.

[JCMach1]

10. Senior Vote will put him over the top

[michael811]

11. early voting numbers

I've been looking at different early voting number analysis and I'm wondering when they talk about the democrats wanting to vote by mail and republicans in person they don't consider independents who support biden would want to vote by mail and those who support Trump would probably want to vote in person. There are a lot more independents voting by mail in Florida then in person.

[greenjar_01]

12. We're gonna win

Probably.