Quick Tip: Pay attention to the polls now, not early next week

[Dr. Jack]

Nate Silver has said a few times that polls released 3 or 4 days before a presidential election are usually the most accurate to the final outcome than ones released a day or two before. So look at the polling averages over the next 24 hours. Those will more likely than not show us what the final results will look like.

[Johnny2X2X]

1. Thank you

I said this in a few other threads, but that was definitely true in 2016. And with 84 million people having already voted, it's more true now than ever.

[Sherman A1]

2. K&R

[lagomorph777]

3. Economist avg: +8.6%; 538 avg: +8.8%; RCP avg: +7.8%

In order from most trustworthy to least trustworthy.

[Fiendish Thingy]

4. But beware of outliers whose release is deliberately timed to create illusion of "tightening". Nt

[tableturner]

5. Also beware of Trump leaning polls "correcting" in favor of Biden at last minute.

They would do this so that in the end, they would not look like the outliers they actually are at this moment.

[Talitha]

6. I get dizzy on pollercoasters.