Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
43 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
New North Carolina poll (NBC/Siena, A+): Biden +6; Cunningham +10, Cooper +19 (Original Post) brooklynite Oct 2020 OP
Ouch greenjar_01 Oct 2020 #1
It's happening! BusyBeingBest Oct 2020 #2
It doesn't get much better than this. Boogiemack Oct 2020 #3
Wait... WHAT!!??? Happy Hoosier Oct 2020 #4
But what about TEH SEX TEXTS?!?!? Shermann Oct 2020 #5
seeing his ads Cobalt Indigo Oct 2020 #24
I think he actually gained votes since that came out. n/t Yavin4 Oct 2020 #30
Cunningham 53-43? Seriously? Laelth Oct 2020 #6
An A+ outlier no less :) My Pet Orangutan Oct 2020 #8
Why? barbtries Oct 2020 #12
It's NC. That's why. Laelth Oct 2020 #15
It was in that range before the sex texts and now maybe that is over. Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #27
C'mon NC! vercetti2021 Oct 2020 #7
I hate to burst anyone's bubble democrattotheend Oct 2020 #9
Before Comey My Pet Orangutan Oct 2020 #16
They also had Hillary at only 47% Codeine Oct 2020 #18
Also, as I pointed out down thread...Marist was taken three days before the Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #29
Weren't there a *lot more* undecideds in 2016? Mike 03 Oct 2020 #19
Yes obamanut2012 Oct 2020 #25
Actually, not true. Marist was one of the most accurate polls in 2016 Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #28
sitting here in NC beaming about this and the possibilities! NRaleighLiberal Oct 2020 #10
Yes, please! mnhtnbb Oct 2020 #11
Undecideds are only 1% (Gov), 4% (Senate) and 2% (Pres.) in this poll wishstar Oct 2020 #13
Those numbers are very good dsc Oct 2020 #14
Maybe this is why Trump cancelled his party? Nt helpisontheway Oct 2020 #17
I live in Greensboro and the Biden yard signs are everywhere!! grobertj Oct 2020 #20
Biden really does seem to be, very gradually, increasing his lead nt coti Oct 2020 #21
We trended like this in 2018 bucolic_frolic Oct 2020 #37
Great poll ...thanks for posting. And for the record I appreciate all of your posts... Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #22
I'm trying so hard Cobalt Indigo Oct 2020 #23
Awesome. triron Oct 2020 #26
I am thinking that Biden will win nationally by 12 points. So 6 points in NC sounds about right. StevieM Oct 2020 #31
He is only down two in Montana which is mind blowing. Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #35
Biden coming close in Montana, even if he doesn't quite win, should help us win the MT Senate race. StevieM Oct 2020 #40
True that. Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #42
He is only down two in Montana which is mind blowing. Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #36
From your lips to God's ears! Turin_C3PO Oct 2020 #39
Whoa! Dem2 Oct 2020 #32
GOP can't even tell loyalists to fall back and save the Senate - there's nothing but crooks to save bucolic_frolic Oct 2020 #33
We will win PA and probably NC and Florida too...blow out. Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #38
Let it be so! VOTE!!! CaptainTruth Oct 2020 #34
Yes!! Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2020 #41
Earthquake numbers BootinUp Oct 2020 #43

Cobalt Indigo

(36 posts)
24. seeing his ads
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 01:47 PM
Oct 2020

Every day with that blonde woman talking (badly acting) about "values" all the while knowing Tillis voters also voted for Orange-Ya-Glad who cheated on all 3 of his wives is excruciating.

Yavin4

(35,354 posts)
30. I think he actually gained votes since that came out. n/t
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 03:07 PM
Oct 2020

Voters do not care about extra-marital affairs.

democrattotheend

(11,605 posts)
9. I hate to burst anyone's bubble
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 01:30 PM
Oct 2020

But the Marist poll also had Hillary winning NC by 6. OTOH, their last poll in 2016 was taken almost two weeks before the election.

 

Codeine

(25,586 posts)
18. They also had Hillary at only 47%
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 01:38 PM
Oct 2020

and the Libertarian candidate with 8%. That’s a very different scenario.

Demsrule86

(68,347 posts)
29. Also, as I pointed out down thread...Marist was taken three days before the
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 03:06 PM
Oct 2020

Comey letter. That was the last North Carolina Marist poll for the season. And Marist was one of the most accurate polls in 16.

Demsrule86

(68,347 posts)
28. Actually, not true. Marist was one of the most accurate polls in 2016
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 03:05 PM
Oct 2020

The last poll on 10-25 2016which-was-the-most-accurate-national-poll-in-the-2016-presidential-election/ However, the last North Carolina poll was taken on October 25th and failed to catch the shift that happened Because of Comey's letter to lawmakers. Remember, Comey came out with the letter on
10-28-16. Thus the poll probably wasn't wrong but the last October surprise came out after their last 2016 poll for Carolina. And again this poll was one of the most accurate of the cycle. So you are not bursting my bubble. I think we are doing great. Biden has had a consistent lead the entire cycle.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/12/05/


North Carolina Polling
https://ig.ft.com/us-elections/north-carolina-polls/


NRaleighLiberal

(59,940 posts)
10. sitting here in NC beaming about this and the possibilities!
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 01:30 PM
Oct 2020

just got back from a 5 mile hike in a nearby national park. spectacular.

NC is such a lovely state it deserves politicians that value and nurture it.

wishstar

(5,267 posts)
13. Undecideds are only 1% (Gov), 4% (Senate) and 2% (Pres.) in this poll
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 01:31 PM
Oct 2020

Good news in the last polls today and yesterday plus weather looks great for early voting today and tomorrow and on Election Day after the storm blew through yesterday so big turnout virtually guaranteed helping Dems.

dsc

(52,129 posts)
14. Those numbers are very good
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 01:32 PM
Oct 2020

better than any that have come down the pike in awhile. Cooper is as close to a sure thing as humanly possible. He has been up by double digits for months and months. Forest is running as the covid spreader candidate and is getting the results one would expect. Cunningham was in the mid single digits in term of lead and then, well affair happened. Now he has largely shown a very narrow lead. Biden, consistent narrow lead. I still think we are likely to see a similar result here to 08 but with different races. In 08 we had a Senate blow out (Hagan beat Dole by 8 or so). A fairly close but not insanely close governor's race. (Perdue beat McCrory by like 1 or 2). Then we had a razor thin margin for Obama (had he needed NC we would have had a recount). This year I think the blow out will be Cooper, the close but not insanely close race will be for Senate and the President will also be close but probably not as close as 08.

bucolic_frolic

(42,663 posts)
37. We trended like this in 2018
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 04:18 PM
Oct 2020

a slow steady grind. voters were learning, deciding, thinking. We have substance to offer them now. We didn't have GOP fear and corruption to showcase in 2016. Few took it seriously.

Cobalt Indigo

(36 posts)
23. I'm trying so hard
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 01:45 PM
Oct 2020

to not get my hopes up with these poll numbers but DAMN look at them! I'm so glad I was able to vote for all 3 of them in NC last week.

StevieM

(10,499 posts)
31. I am thinking that Biden will win nationally by 12 points. So 6 points in NC sounds about right.
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 03:19 PM
Oct 2020

He will perform respectably in states like Montana, South Carolina and Kansas, while still losing. That will allow the Democrats running for Senate in those states to have a real chance at winning.

Ultimately I think Biden will win 413 electoral votes, to 125 for Trump. Biden will win all the battleground states: Arizona, Texas, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, Maine, Nevada, Colorado, Virginia. He will sweep them all. And he will also win the 2nd Cong. district of Nebraska, along with the 2nd Cong. district of Maine.

StevieM

(10,499 posts)
40. Biden coming close in Montana, even if he doesn't quite win, should help us win the MT Senate race.
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 04:35 PM
Oct 2020

Same goes for South Carolina. Even the Alaska Senate race may be within a few points. But even if we don't win that one, the fact that we are competing for a Senate seat up there says a lot about how good our chances are in the other Senate battleground states.

bucolic_frolic

(42,663 posts)
33. GOP can't even tell loyalists to fall back and save the Senate - there's nothing but crooks to save
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 04:03 PM
Oct 2020

I'm almost thinking it's going to be sweet.

My money's been on NC and TX for about 2 weeks.

FL? IA? PA? not so much.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»New North Carolina poll (...