General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNew North Carolina poll (NBC/Siena, A+): Biden +6; Cunningham +10, Cooper +19
Biden 52-46
Cunningham 53-43
Cooper 59-40
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/7279122-Xyz-NBCNews-Marist-Poll-NC-Annotated.html
greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)BusyBeingBest
(8,049 posts)Boogiemack
(1,406 posts)Rock steady...
Happy Hoosier
(7,073 posts)Sweet Jeebus, please be true!
Shermann
(7,355 posts)I guess Tactless Thom Tillis needs more of a platform than that.
Cobalt Indigo
(36 posts)Every day with that blonde woman talking (badly acting) about "values" all the while knowing Tillis voters also voted for Orange-Ya-Glad who cheated on all 3 of his wives is excruciating.
Yavin4
(35,354 posts)Voters do not care about extra-marital affairs.
Laelth
(32,017 posts)This must be an outlier.
-Laelth
My Pet Orangutan
(9,098 posts)Tillis has been worse than useless.
Laelth
(32,017 posts)Dont get me wrong. I hope its dead-on accurate.
-Laelth
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)vercetti2021
(10,150 posts)You can put us over too!
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)But the Marist poll also had Hillary winning NC by 6. OTOH, their last poll in 2016 was taken almost two weeks before the election.
My Pet Orangutan
(9,098 posts)Codeine
(25,586 posts)and the Libertarian candidate with 8%. Thats a very different scenario.
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)Comey letter. That was the last North Carolina Marist poll for the season. And Marist was one of the most accurate polls in 16.
Mike 03
(16,616 posts)obamanut2012
(25,906 posts)Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)The last poll on 10-25 2016which-was-the-most-accurate-national-poll-in-the-2016-presidential-election/ However, the last North Carolina poll was taken on October 25th and failed to catch the shift that happened Because of Comey's letter to lawmakers. Remember, Comey came out with the letter on
10-28-16. Thus the poll probably wasn't wrong but the last October surprise came out after their last 2016 poll for Carolina. And again this poll was one of the most accurate of the cycle. So you are not bursting my bubble. I think we are doing great. Biden has had a consistent lead the entire cycle.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/12/05/
North Carolina Polling
https://ig.ft.com/us-elections/north-carolina-polls/
NRaleighLiberal
(59,940 posts)just got back from a 5 mile hike in a nearby national park. spectacular.
NC is such a lovely state it deserves politicians that value and nurture it.
mnhtnbb
(31,318 posts)wishstar
(5,267 posts)Good news in the last polls today and yesterday plus weather looks great for early voting today and tomorrow and on Election Day after the storm blew through yesterday so big turnout virtually guaranteed helping Dems.
dsc
(52,129 posts)better than any that have come down the pike in awhile. Cooper is as close to a sure thing as humanly possible. He has been up by double digits for months and months. Forest is running as the covid spreader candidate and is getting the results one would expect. Cunningham was in the mid single digits in term of lead and then, well affair happened. Now he has largely shown a very narrow lead. Biden, consistent narrow lead. I still think we are likely to see a similar result here to 08 but with different races. In 08 we had a Senate blow out (Hagan beat Dole by 8 or so). A fairly close but not insanely close governor's race. (Perdue beat McCrory by like 1 or 2). Then we had a razor thin margin for Obama (had he needed NC we would have had a recount). This year I think the blow out will be Cooper, the close but not insanely close race will be for Senate and the President will also be close but probably not as close as 08.
helpisontheway
(5,004 posts)grobertj
(187 posts)coti
(4,612 posts)bucolic_frolic
(42,663 posts)a slow steady grind. voters were learning, deciding, thinking. We have substance to offer them now. We didn't have GOP fear and corruption to showcase in 2016. Few took it seriously.
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)Thanks!
Cobalt Indigo
(36 posts)to not get my hopes up with these poll numbers but DAMN look at them! I'm so glad I was able to vote for all 3 of them in NC last week.
triron
(21,914 posts)StevieM
(10,499 posts)He will perform respectably in states like Montana, South Carolina and Kansas, while still losing. That will allow the Democrats running for Senate in those states to have a real chance at winning.
Ultimately I think Biden will win 413 electoral votes, to 125 for Trump. Biden will win all the battleground states: Arizona, Texas, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, Maine, Nevada, Colorado, Virginia. He will sweep them all. And he will also win the 2nd Cong. district of Nebraska, along with the 2nd Cong. district of Maine.
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)StevieM
(10,499 posts)Same goes for South Carolina. Even the Alaska Senate race may be within a few points. But even if we don't win that one, the fact that we are competing for a Senate seat up there says a lot about how good our chances are in the other Senate battleground states.
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)Turin_C3PO
(13,649 posts)Dem2
(8,166 posts)Nice poll!
bucolic_frolic
(42,663 posts)I'm almost thinking it's going to be sweet.
My money's been on NC and TX for about 2 weeks.
FL? IA? PA? not so much.