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Yavin4

(35,427 posts)
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 06:01 PM Oct 2020

We're not only going to win this thing, but we may have already won. Still, vote though.

No. I don't have any data or links or anything to support my post title. It's just my very non-scientific hunch. If you count the votes of those that have already voted, Biden may have already won. Trump needs a massive turnout and win a large percentage of that turnout to over take Biden's lead.

Like I said, I have no evidence to support this, except the Biden campaign, and other Democrats, are unusually quiet. I've heard little to no stories about campign in-fighting. No criticism of campaign strategies by other Democrats. No complaints from Democratic candidates. This signals to me a calm confidence that I've never seen before.

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
We're not only going to win this thing, but we may have already won. Still, vote though. (Original Post) Yavin4 Oct 2020 OP
The repugs cheating hasn't kicked into full gear yet luv2fly Oct 2020 #1
I read this same kind of post in 2016. cwydro Oct 2020 #2
But it's not 2016. Yavin4 Oct 2020 #4
I'm not counting any chickens just yet. cwydro Oct 2020 #6
I'm not counting chickens. I'm counting votes. Yavin4 Oct 2020 #9
Oh, wow! cwydro Oct 2020 #13
There is some evidence..according to polls Thekaspervote Oct 2020 #3
No, that is not evidence that we have already won. It's evidence we are *likely* to win. muriel_volestrangler Oct 2020 #16
Unless you liked 2016 so much you want a repeat, this is a bad idea. Ms. Toad Oct 2020 #5
Thank you. cwydro Oct 2020 #7
My posting on DU is not going to make anyone complacent. Yavin4 Oct 2020 #11
DU is a public forum Trumpocalypse Oct 2020 #14
Kinda what people said in 2016, too. n/t Ms. Toad Oct 2020 #15
I think Trump is going down. But we Really need the senate. captain queeg Oct 2020 #8
The youth vote is up 600 percent in Texas, we got this. sarcasmo Oct 2020 #10
If folks in Texas are voting. Yeah, we got this. Yavin4 Oct 2020 #12
 

cwydro

(51,308 posts)
6. I'm not counting any chickens just yet.
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 06:27 PM
Oct 2020

I’ve had Covid, so yes, I know it’s not the ordinary flu. What an odd comment to make.

 

cwydro

(51,308 posts)
13. Oh, wow!
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 06:30 PM
Oct 2020

Didn’t realize the votes were in and we have a “genuwine” vote counter here!

Cool! Good to know we won! Woohoo!

Thekaspervote

(32,750 posts)
3. There is some evidence..according to polls
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 06:25 PM
Oct 2020

Biden leading by 8-9 pts average, with 4% undecided and MOE of 3%, trump would have to have all the undecideds vote for him, and the MOE tilted completely in his favor and he still would win

muriel_volestrangler

(101,294 posts)
16. No, that is not evidence that we have already won. It's evidence we are *likely* to win.
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 09:22 PM
Oct 2020

The OP's "If you count the votes of those that have already voted, Biden may have already won" is obviously wrong. If no one voted Democratic from now on, we'd lose most states (maybe win Hawaii, since they've already voted more than in 2016? States that have nearly all mail voting, like Oregon?)

You are talking about the opinion poll answers which include the intention to vote, not just what people have already done.

A pointless thread, that just needs correcting with a bit of common sense. Everyone still needs to see their intention to vote Democratic to completion. This is not a walk in the park.

Ms. Toad

(34,055 posts)
5. Unless you liked 2016 so much you want a repeat, this is a bad idea.
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 06:26 PM
Oct 2020

This is the kind of smug complacency that let some Democrats feel ok skipping voting, or voting for 3rd party candidates to send a message to "president" Clinton.

Yavin4

(35,427 posts)
11. My posting on DU is not going to make anyone complacent.
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 06:29 PM
Oct 2020

People are already voting in huge numbers, and the trend will continue through election day.

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