npr: Georgia seeing surge in black voter turnout

[triron]

https://www.npr.org/2020/10/27/928346877/georgia-sees-surge-in-black-voter-turnout

[cilla4progress]

1. Stacy Abrams a star

Of this election cycle.

Beto, too. One should be new DNC Chair.

Other should be in the admin - advisor

[brer cat]

2. She deserves a ton of credit for registering new voters

as well as GOTV efforts. She also deserves to be the current GA Gov, but that was Kemp's theft.

[GulfCoast66]

5. No sure I agree. They need to be out front. The DNC chair should be a behind the scenes guy.

Doing the organizing and logistics. Making the tough resource decisions.

Perez has done a stellar job. And you rarely hear from him.

[jcgoldie]

7. Abrams and Beto

I wanted both of them to run for senate so badly but it almost seems like they are having a greater effect on turnout even though they aren't on the ticket. Still two rising stars in our party despite losing in 2018.

[greenjar_01]

3. People are fucking fed up

And they're not voting Platinum Plan with LilWayne and Ice Cube, I'll tell you that.

[Awsi Dooger]

4. It needs to pick up the pace

I have been following this specific category every day. Biden needs to black vote to be 30% of the total in Georgia. That's what it was in 2016 and 2018. Abrams did a great job for blacks to reach 30% in a midterm.

But if it falls to 27% or 28% this year, Biden needs a significantly greater percentage of the white vote, which may not be feasible in Georgia. So far the black vote is 27.6% among total votes and 26.4% among in-person early votes.

That is not going to cut it. For all the high profile talk about Miami-Dade turnout, there are right wing turnout chirpers online who have been more focused on black turnout rate in Georgia and North Carolina, and Hispanic turnout rate in North Carolina. None of them are matching prior levels, or what Biden needs.

But I have not followed voting patterns in those states previously, to understand if the black vote and Hispanic vote typically comes out late. The Hispanic percentage in North Carolina is really low, at only 2.2%. Biden needs that to reach 5%. Some poll models like Marist have been using 6%.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/GA.html

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NC.html

[Rice4VP]

6. Really? THEY were just saying that Black

turnout is down.

[cwydro]

8. I hope they are voting D.

We need every vote.

[Awsi Dooger]

9. Of course there's the "other" category in the early voting stats

A full 10% in Georgia have race/ethnicity listed at "other."

I don't know what to make of that. If 2-3% of those are blacks, then Biden is fine. For days I have seen right wingers in Predicitit comments and elsehwere desperately attempt to argue that all 10% are whites.

[Awsi Dooger]

10. Here's an article on black and Hispanic turnout

The levels may be up, but other groups are up by greater percentage, specifically working class whites. Plenty of disagreement in the Democratic camps on how to address the issue. Some are frustrated by lack of funding and door to door contact:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-30/biden-aides-see-warning-signs-in-black-latino-turnout-so-far