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Quixote1818

(28,918 posts)
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 12:22 AM Oct 2020

538: Democrats have an enthusiasm edge

This is slightly bigger than 2008 for Biden and for Trump he is slightly behind Romney in 2012. If this holds true then here is what the numbers were for Obama in 2008 and Romney in 2012


Obama got close to 70 million so lets add 5 million onto that and so I predict 75 million votes for Biden since enthusiasm is bigger this year and because of population growth.

Romney got 61 million and Trump got 63 million. Lets give Trump another couple million at around 65 million. This gives Biden a win of around 10 million or more. It's possible he might hit 80 million votes this year.

After a bit more thought I am going to predict Biden 77 million and Trump 64 million for a 13 million advantage for Biden.

What is your prediction?

Link to article: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-say-theyre-fired-up-to-vote-especially-democrats/?ex_cid=538fb&fbclid=IwAR1xYec9zqupqbbvvz80ZKrsgUQ9XPMCwrbpPPhRggO4XeZoINBZYG_Cs9o


?w=575

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538: Democrats have an enthusiasm edge (Original Post) Quixote1818 Oct 2020 OP
We absolutely do..and it's gonna carry us to 270 and way beyond Thekaspervote Oct 2020 #1
Ok if that is what they say. I have seen one of their Trump trains every week the last few months, doc03 Oct 2020 #2

doc03

(35,282 posts)
2. Ok if that is what they say. I have seen one of their Trump trains every week the last few months,
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 12:29 AM
Oct 2020

every house and pickup with flags. Maybe it is a small percentage of them overall though. But I am in
the middle of Trump country not normal people. I do think Biden will win the popular vote by at least 10 million.

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