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[still_one]

This message was self-deleted by its author (still_one) on Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:50 AM. When the original post in a discussion thread is self-deleted, the entire discussion thread is automatically locked so new replies cannot be posted.

[Dem2]

1. 7 points?

[jimfields33]

18. That would be incredibly great!

no election has been more then around 2 percent in decades regardless of party winning. This would be amazing!!!!!

[Buckeye_Democrat]

2. Woo hoo!

[Johnny2X2X]

3. RVs. Their LV poll was +8

FIX has good polling. +8 is solid.

[still_one]

6. Yes. You have to go into the data, and you are right

[Wounded Bear]

4. "margin of sampling error of 2.5 percentage points"

[hlthe2b]

5. I honestly think Florida has become impossible to accurately poll.

Encouraging, though it might be. Too volatile.

[still_one]

7. I think the same applies to Pennsylvania also

[Johnny2X2X]

10. FL has been pretty consistent

Throw out a couple right wing polls and Biden +2 to plus 5 has been really consistent.

[FM123]

11. Yes, very difficult to poll.

My personal experience has been encouraging though - lots of folks down here (South FL) that are sick of trump's Covid response are voting for Joe this election while still keeping their repub party affiliation. When we look at early voting/mail in ballot numbers by registered repubs, we don't really know who they voted for - could be Joe.

[helpisontheway]

8. Joe S. said he does not believe it but something is going on in Florida! Hopefully,

it is true and people will vote. I just remember Andrew G. being up in most polls and they ended up with Trump’s mini me. Good thing here is that so many people have already voted.

[Tribetime]

9. Joe scum knows more than the pollsters

[MontanaFarmer]

12. The poll you're referencing is a national poll,

Not a poll of Florida.

[hlthe2b]

14. Actually, no. Scroll down the fivethirtyeight link in the OP and it shows two FL recent polls.

and the Fox poll is one of the two.

[MontanaFarmer]

19. No, it doesn't.

The one above it does. The fox poll isn't labeled. Click the link to the poll, isn't it national?

[hlthe2b]

20. No. Both polls are Florida-specific. I don't know how to explain it to you further

In the second link scroll down the President: General Election down to FL. Atlas and Fox results are listed; continue to the next line and you see a single VA-specific poll for Roanoke College.

[honest.abe]

22. The poll pdf doesnt say anything about Florida.

I think this is a national poll.

[MontanaFarmer]

23. Click on the link to the fox poll.

It clearly says national. It is not a poll of florida. It's right underneath atlas in the list, and atlas polled florida, but the fox poll does not have a state denoted. If you click on "fox News" it takes you to the report on the poll, which says "national sample."

[VanillaC]

13. As an elementary school teacher here in Florida....

this is promising news. We need to win Florida. I mean, I understand that the state is not needed as a win to get Joe Biden elected, but for me personally - WE NEED TO WIN FLORIDA. Oh gosh. May it happen. Hoping to kick out this butt of a joke governor next. Cases are on the rise here but hey, let's talk about bringing students back to the classroom at 100% and throw out mask mandates too! Such a jerk and a fool.

[Baitball Blogger]

16. Well said.

[Baitball Blogger]

15. That's a shot across the bow.

So, not within 3%, so harder to steal.

[Chainfire]

17. After reading all of the "Florida Man" posts

do you think that anyone is capable of predicting what Florida will do?

[kansasobama]

21. It is not a Florida poll

Not to mention, it is impossible. To be frank, if Miami Dade sits on their butts, despite the polls it is lost cause.

People have to vote to win.

[MontanaFarmer]

25. Correct, currently arguing with the OP

upthread. It was somewhat confusing in the 538 list, as it was slotted right under the atlas poll, but definitely a national poll.

[honest.abe]

24. This appears to be a national poll.

It looks like 538 mislabeled it on their website as Florida.

From the poll:

Interviews were conducted October 27-29, 2020 among a random national sample of 1,318
registered voters (RV).

[MontanaFarmer]

26. They didn't label it.

It's right under the atlas poll of florida, but that list just puts them in the order they were released.