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moose65

(3,166 posts)
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:47 AM Oct 2020

NC Voting Update: October 31

October 15 was the first day of Early Voting in NC. After the sites closed on Friday, October 30, here are the updated totals:

Mail-in ballots received: 907,742
Early voting (16 days): 3,437,684

Total: 4,345,426

Party breakdown of those who have voted:

Democratic: 1,633,733
Republican: 1,378,537
Unaffiliated: 1,310,505
Libertarian: 18,905
Constitution: 1,946
Green: 1,760

59.2% of registered voters have already voted.

We have now reached 91.1% of the 2016 votes cast.

We have also surpassed the number of early and mail-in votes from 2016 by almost 1,200,000, with 1 day of Early Voting to go.

62.4% of the registered Democrats in NC have already voted.

Sources: https://carolinaelections.com/votetracker/gen2020 and https://www.ncsbe.gov/

22 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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NC Voting Update: October 31 (Original Post) moose65 Oct 2020 OP
Unaffiliated voters are younger voters and likely break more to beachbumbob Oct 2020 #1
The kind of turnout we have seen is likely to blow up most LV models YessirAtsaFact Oct 2020 #3
Everything tells me this is a blow out election on all levels but nothing beachbumbob Oct 2020 #4
Yes, I also suffer from 2016 PTSD YessirAtsaFact Oct 2020 #7
I ignore 2016 is so NOT related to 2020, the concern this time is being sure beachbumbob Oct 2020 #9
Intellectually, I agree with everything you're saying YessirAtsaFact Oct 2020 #11
Thanks for posting this YessirAtsaFact Oct 2020 #2
I noticed that there are thousands Rice4VP Oct 2020 #5
At least some of the people who requested absentee ballots might have changed their mind. LisaL Oct 2020 #8
You CAN lwys vote in person after a request for a mail in ballot, they notate the polling roll book beachbumbob Oct 2020 #10
Same here in FL obamanut2012 Oct 2020 #12
Thanks. I wish they updated the numbers to Rice4VP Oct 2020 #13
At least some of those 3rd party voters are voting for Biden FakeNoose Oct 2020 #6
Good point about home being safe for a RePutinican NoMoreRepugs Oct 2020 #15
Was thinking along the same lines. WinstonSmith4740 Oct 2020 #19
62.4% is encouraging bucolic_frolic Oct 2020 #14
my father-in-law was a lifelong Republican, now Unaffiliated in NC BernieBabies Oct 2020 #16
Ditto onetexan Oct 2020 #22
Quick check of NC BOE stats DeminPennswoods Oct 2020 #17
Thanks for the update! PatrickforO Oct 2020 #18
this is really good. barbtries Oct 2020 #20
19,000 Libertarian votes! Roisin Ni Fiachra Oct 2020 #21
 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
1. Unaffiliated voters are younger voters and likely break more to
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:00 AM
Oct 2020

democrats and often under not captured by pollsters to begin with.

YessirAtsaFact

(2,064 posts)
3. The kind of turnout we have seen is likely to blow up most LV models
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:03 AM
Oct 2020

I'm hoping for a Biden landslide, but would be happy for any win that removes the Orange Menace.

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
4. Everything tells me this is a blow out election on all levels but nothing
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:08 AM
Oct 2020

is won until we all vote and make sure the votes are counted. The war will be over signatures.

YessirAtsaFact

(2,064 posts)
7. Yes, I also suffer from 2016 PTSD
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:39 AM
Oct 2020

Every sign, from the consistent polling to the increase in the young voter turnout to the crazy overall turnout numbers says Democratic blowout win.

I voted over a month ago and I've donated at least twice as much money as I've ever donated.

And I'm still nervous as hell.

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
9. I ignore 2016 is so NOT related to 2020, the concern this time is being sure
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:57 AM
Oct 2020

mail in ballots are counted and we have lots of direct control with that with election judges and the methodology used. Keep stressing vote vote vote and make this a historic blow out

YessirAtsaFact

(2,064 posts)
2. Thanks for posting this
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:01 AM
Oct 2020

I'm an NC native living in Glen Allen, VA.

Do you know what percentage of registered Republicans have already voted?

Rice4VP

(1,235 posts)
5. I noticed that there are thousands
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:14 AM
Oct 2020

Of ballots not mailed back in NC. Did people walk these in? Dems only at 62% return

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NC.html

Some states have 80-90% returned

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
8. At least some of the people who requested absentee ballots might have changed their mind.
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:42 AM
Oct 2020

In NC, people who requested absentees are allowed to change their mind and vote in person.

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
10. You CAN lwys vote in person after a request for a mail in ballot, they notate the polling roll book
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:58 AM
Oct 2020

AND IF a mail in ballot is received after voting in person, you will be arrested

FakeNoose

(32,633 posts)
6. At least some of those 3rd party voters are voting for Biden
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 11:18 AM
Oct 2020

... also I'm of the opinion that some GOP members are also voting blue this time. The mailed ballots make it easier to decide privately at home that "Enough is enough!" and vote for the other guy.

My feeling is that most of the indies are motivated to vote against Chump for one reason or another. That includes a lot of younger voters who have liberal sensibilities but are turned off by both political parties. Maybe they won't join our Party, but they're smart enough to see the damage that Chump has done in the last 4 years. I was there for a lot of years, I remained independent until 2008, but I always voted with the Democrats.

Congratulations North Carolina Democrats!

NoMoreRepugs

(9,412 posts)
15. Good point about home being safe for a RePutinican
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 12:45 PM
Oct 2020

to vote Biden. No crazed trumpinistas at the polling place standing outside giving everyone the stink eye.

WinstonSmith4740

(3,056 posts)
19. Was thinking along the same lines.
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 01:07 PM
Oct 2020

Independents tend to vote Democratic, and I also can't see enough Democrats voting for Trump to outweigh the number of Republicans who will be voting for Biden.

 

BernieBabies

(78 posts)
16. my father-in-law was a lifelong Republican, now Unaffiliated in NC
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 12:53 PM
Oct 2020

I'm also hoping that other unaffiliated are ex-Republicans who could never be Democrats but also never Trumpers.

DeminPennswoods

(15,278 posts)
17. Quick check of NC BOE stats
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 01:01 PM
Oct 2020

Approx 2.6M D, 2.2M R, 2.4M Ind.

That would suggest at 100% turnout, there's about 1M votes each from Ds and Is left and about 900k R.

barbtries

(28,787 posts)
20. this is really good.
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 01:26 PM
Oct 2020

a substantial number of republicans are going to be voting Democratic. I think Joe wins NC.

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