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mzmolly

(50,985 posts) Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:26 PM Oct 2020

538 version of what the map would look like if polls are exactly as wrong as in 2016 - Nate Silver

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538 version of what the map would look like if polls are exactly as wrong as in 2016 - Nate Silver (Original Post) mzmolly Oct 2020 OP

That's comforting! nt Phoenix61 Oct 2020 #1

Now this is good info Dem2 Oct 2020 #2

Thanks wryter2000 Oct 2020 #3

Agree. mzmolly Oct 2020 #5

That's amazing. Mike 03 Oct 2020 #4

That actually makes me feel a whole lot better Bettie Oct 2020 #6

That will do. Laelth Oct 2020 #7

Yet I got another 300 doom and gloom emails and texts central scrutinizer Oct 2020 #8

FL GA and PA 65 votes scipan Nov 2020 #9

Phoenix61

(17,003 posts)

1. That's comforting! nt

Reply to mzmolly (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:28 PM

Oct 2020

Dem2

(8,168 posts)

2. Now this is good info

Reply to mzmolly (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:29 PM

Oct 2020

Nice to know there's a bit of a cushion.

wryter2000

(46,037 posts)

3. Thanks

Reply to mzmolly (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:30 PM

Oct 2020

The polls weren't really that wrong in 2016, at least not as 538 predicted. He had Hillary at 65% on election day, which still left Trump with a 35% chance of winning. That's not insurmountable. Plus, the popular vote came out as predicted.

mzmolly

(50,985 posts)

5. Agree.

Reply to wryter2000 (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:41 PM

Oct 2020

Though I was certain Hillary would win based upon polling. This does help put things in perspective for the nervous Nellie's among us. Myself included.

Mike 03

(16,616 posts)

4. That's amazing.

Reply to mzmolly (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:36 PM

Oct 2020

Florida still goes blue.

Bettie

(16,093 posts)

6. That actually makes me feel a whole lot better

Reply to mzmolly (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:44 PM

Oct 2020

I find it hard to believe he's gained more support over the last four years.

But I am still afraid. PTSD.

Laelth

(32,017 posts)

7. That will do.

Reply to mzmolly (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:46 PM

Oct 2020

I suspect Biden/Harris will do better than that.

-Laelth

central scrutinizer

(11,648 posts)

8. Yet I got another 300 doom and gloom emails and texts

Reply to mzmolly (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 03:11 PM

Oct 2020

In the last eight hours pleading for money. “It’s over, we’re packing” “McConnell (Graham, Ernst, Collins....) laughing”, “Biden (Kelly, Bullock, McGrath....) loses”. “300% (400%, 500%, 700%) match.”

scipan

(2,341 posts)

9. FL GA and PA 65 votes

Reply to mzmolly (Original post)

Sun Nov 1, 2020, 02:13 PM

Nov 2020

Leaves Biden with 270. Still wins.

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