Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:26 PM
mzmolly (49,888 posts)
538 version of what the map would look like if polls are exactly as wrong as in 2016 - Nate Silver
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9 replies, 1487 views
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Author | Time | Post |
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mzmolly | Oct 2020 | OP |
Phoenix61 | Oct 2020 | #1 | |
Dem2 | Oct 2020 | #2 | |
wryter2000 | Oct 2020 | #3 | |
mzmolly | Oct 2020 | #5 | |
Mike 03 | Oct 2020 | #4 | |
Bettie | Oct 2020 | #6 | |
Laelth | Oct 2020 | #7 | |
central scrutinizer | Oct 2020 | #8 | |
scipan | Nov 2020 | #9 |
Response to mzmolly (Original post)
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:28 PM
Phoenix61 (12,807 posts)
1. That's comforting! nt
Response to mzmolly (Original post)
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:29 PM
Dem2 (8,158 posts)
2. Now this is good info
Nice to know there's a bit of a cushion.
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Response to mzmolly (Original post)
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:30 PM
wryter2000 (43,203 posts)
3. Thanks
The polls weren't really that wrong in 2016, at least not as 538 predicted. He had Hillary at 65% on election day, which still left Trump with a 35% chance of winning. That's not insurmountable. Plus, the popular vote came out as predicted.
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Response to wryter2000 (Reply #3)
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:41 PM
mzmolly (49,888 posts)
5. Agree.
Though I was certain Hillary would win based upon polling. This does help put things in perspective for the nervous Nellie's among us. Myself included.
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Response to mzmolly (Original post)
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:36 PM
Mike 03 (16,616 posts)
4. That's amazing.
Florida still goes blue.
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Response to mzmolly (Original post)
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:44 PM
Bettie (13,292 posts)
6. That actually makes me feel a whole lot better
I find it hard to believe he's gained more support over the last four years.
But I am still afraid. PTSD. |
Response to mzmolly (Original post)
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 02:46 PM
Laelth (32,013 posts)
7. That will do.
I suspect Biden/Harris will do better than that.
![]() ![]() -Laelth |
Response to mzmolly (Original post)
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 03:11 PM
central scrutinizer (10,551 posts)
8. Yet I got another 300 doom and gloom emails and texts
In the last eight hours pleading for money. “It’s over, we’re packing” “McConnell (Graham, Ernst, Collins....) laughing”, “Biden (Kelly, Bullock, McGrath....) loses”. “300% (400%, 500%, 700%) match.”
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Response to mzmolly (Original post)
Sun Nov 1, 2020, 02:13 PM
scipan (1,346 posts)
9. FL GA and PA 65 votes
Leaves Biden with 270. Still wins.
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