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*Poll Alert* Good News ! (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2020 OP
I Believe A+ Selzner Poll will drop in about an hour Stallion Oct 2020 #1
Did it drop? Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #24
Yes--it claims Trump and Ernst lead Nt spooky3 Oct 2020 #26
That sucks. Tuesday feels like an eternity away. Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #29
As noted here, those four battleground states alone would give Biden a solid enough win coti Oct 2020 #2
Thank you! ananda Oct 2020 #3
Woohoo!!! Thank u for posting! onetexan Oct 2020 #4
And there aren't enough undecideds wryter2000 Oct 2020 #5
Nice! mcar Oct 2020 #6
Thank you DSB. K&R Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #7
Thank you so much for this great news. Mike 03 Oct 2020 #8
The major crosstabs are better than the polls themselves Awsi Dooger Oct 2020 #9
thank u for posting this. It's clear the housewives will vote the Con out. onetexan Oct 2020 #10
You are welcome Awsi Dooger Oct 2020 #12
I did not see the housewives portion of the poll? Looks like women to me. 33taw Oct 2020 #14
i was being facetious 33taw...the Con called women housewives. onetexan Oct 2020 #17
Whew!! Had me worried. 33taw Oct 2020 #20
ARIZONA IS ONLY 50-50???? AZ8theist Oct 2020 #15
Hahahahahaha PutGramaOnThePhone Oct 2020 #25
We have almost unlimited knuckle draggers here.... AZ8theist Nov 2020 #32
My husband's ex-wife and her husband are AZ republicans voting for BIDEN!!! BComplex Nov 2020 #33
Very nice! PutGramaOnThePhone Nov 2020 #34
I know what you mean! Every little bit of optimism is balm for a fried nervous system! BComplex Nov 2020 #36
"This one's for the girls" dchill Oct 2020 #23
Excellent news! warmfeet Oct 2020 #11
Too close in Arizona Hulk Oct 2020 #13
Likely or registered voters? triron Oct 2020 #16
I get spooked by these polls zentrum Oct 2020 #18
Yaaaaaay! SheltieLover Oct 2020 #19
Good news Dopers_Greed Oct 2020 #21
Anyplace he is not 45, he is toast. At this point. Captain Zero Oct 2020 #22
Thank you! Larissa Oct 2020 #27
K&R smirkymonkey Oct 2020 #28
Pennslyvania Pennslyvania Pennslyvania ... jimlup Oct 2020 #30
NBC/Marist poll also showed 6 point lead for Biden in N.C. triron Oct 2020 #31
K&R Blue Owl Nov 2020 #35

coti

(4,625 posts)
2. As noted here, those four battleground states alone would give Biden a solid enough win
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 04:56 PM
Oct 2020

to make it very difficult for Trump to overturn the election in court.

https://democraticunderground.com/100214402168

wryter2000

(47,940 posts)
5. And there aren't enough undecideds
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 04:59 PM
Oct 2020

For Trump to catch up. There’s always the margin of error, of course. I imagine 538 will be over 90% for Biden soon.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
9. The major crosstabs are better than the polls themselves
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 05:23 PM
Oct 2020

This lady on twitter posted screen grabs of all of them. They don't even have to be fully accurate. Biden can lose several percent in each category and be okay. The North Carolina gender gap is especially important because women can be 54% of the electorate there, unlike Arizona and Wisconsin where there is more gender balance and women are only 50-51% of the electorate:


 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
12. You are welcome
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 05:49 PM
Oct 2020

I'm always looking for preference and not turnout

When I was a kid there was a local showroom store where they had to buzz you in. It was always a bit nerve wracking to stand there and wait to be buzzed in. They were evaluating you in the little section between the main entrance and the buzzed entrance. It feels the same way now in voting discussion. Unless you say, "It's all about turnout," then you are treated like an alien and not buzzed in.

PutGramaOnThePhone

(236 posts)
25. Hahahahahaha
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 07:31 PM
Oct 2020
Nice

I was just skimming the tread and thought, oh no, how are Biden and rump tied in AZ? Duh. Now I get it.

AZ8theist

(7,217 posts)
32. We have almost unlimited knuckle draggers here....
Sun Nov 1, 2020, 01:49 AM
Nov 2020

Fortunately, a growing majority is too intelligent to vote Repuke.

BComplex

(9,836 posts)
33. My husband's ex-wife and her husband are AZ republicans voting for BIDEN!!!
Sun Nov 1, 2020, 12:52 PM
Nov 2020

That's at least 2 from the republican side of the ledger swinging into our column!

PutGramaOnThePhone

(236 posts)
34. Very nice!
Sun Nov 1, 2020, 02:02 PM
Nov 2020

Such anecdotes, and all the good news out of AZ so far (fingers crossed, salt over shoulder, and so forth) is why I was knee jerk shocked by reading “50 - 50 in AZ”. No shade intended thrown on all those good people on the righteous side In AZ. All due disrespect intended towards those on the wrong side.

BComplex

(9,836 posts)
36. I know what you mean! Every little bit of optimism is balm for a fried nervous system!
Sun Nov 1, 2020, 02:54 PM
Nov 2020

I can't wait until all the votes are counted and we can get on with our lives.

zentrum

(9,870 posts)
18. I get spooked by these polls
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 06:27 PM
Oct 2020

……being posted. Don't want anybody to get complacent and think they don't need to make the effort, especially if for some reason, getting out on Nov 3 is difficult.

Dopers_Greed

(2,647 posts)
21. Good news
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 06:47 PM
Oct 2020

I think PA has a possibility of being stolen by Trump. It's close, and there's Repug fuckery happening there.

But these will give enough of a buffer to protect against that.

 

triron

(22,240 posts)
31. NBC/Marist poll also showed 6 point lead for Biden in N.C.
Sat Oct 31, 2020, 08:40 PM
Oct 2020

Biden narrowly leads Trump in North Carolina, 51 to 45 percent. Recent public polling in North Carolina has shown a tighter race in the state, but an NBC News/Marist poll released Friday showed a 6-point lead for the former vice president.

Also the CNN polls all used sample sizes over 1000.

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