FINAL CNN STATE POLLS: Biden MI+14%, WI+8%, NC+6%, AZ+4%, also PPP poll: FL +7%

[spanone]

This is the final round of state polling from CNN. Wisconsin and Michigan are off the table, that much appears clear. We are also doing very well with North Carolina and good with Arizona here.

CNN Polls: Biden leads in Michigan and Wisconsin as campaign ends, with tighter races in Arizona and North Carolina

Former Vice President Joe Biden holds an advantage in the upper Midwest states of Wisconsin and Michigan, according to CNN Polls conducted by SSRS, but the race between Biden and President Donald Trump is tighter in the battlegrounds of Arizona and North Carolina.
Trump won all four of these states in 2016, and a loss on Tuesday in any of them would make his narrow path to 270 electoral votes more difficult.
The polls, conducted as the campaign comes to its close, show little movement in the presidential race compared with previous CNN polls in each state.

Expected wins in Michigan and Wisconsin and JUST a win in North Carolina, and Trump is done, even if he were to win Pennsylvania, which he won’t wn.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/10/31/1991422/-FINAL-CNN-STATE-POLLS-Biden-MI-14-WI-8-NC-6-AZ-4-also-PPP-poll-FL-7

[LizBeth]

1. This one FL +7 yet another thread had them -2. I just know we have this, and about done with all

over the board with outliers.

[Claustrum]

2. I am getting desensitized to the polls.

I think Biden is leading but in a lot of the battleground states, it is close. Biden is still favored to win because he is on the offense way more than Trump.

I don't need to see more, other than the election night/week final result.

[LisaL]

3. I am tired of all the polls.

1 point here, 1 point there. But thankfully those are final there are not many polls left.

[LizBeth]

5. You know, Biden has been consistent over a couple three months. I do not think it will be close in a

lot of the swing states. If you are countin Texas, Iowa, Ohio, sure. But I think MI, WI, MN, PE, NC are not so close. I think GE and AZ are close but ours from the consistent polls.

[Claustrum]

7. Like I said, I think Biden is on the offense in NC, GA, FL, AZ and TX.

If Biden gets any of these, he will be president-elect. And I like the odds there.

The only reason I said it's close is because of 2016 PTSD and I fully know 2020 is not 2016, not by a long shot.

[LizBeth]

8. +1

[LizBeth]

9. You are not the first I have seen the last couple days saying Tx is ours.

I want it just cause I have lots of family there and would do my heart good, but I love people's confidence here with TX the last 24 hours.

[Claustrum]

11. Dave Wasserman is the one that's giving me some hope in TX.

Link to tweet

?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

He just said Biden is likely running well above Beto's 2018 numbers by 40+% in some counties. I am guessing the district level polls give him some confidence that TX will at least be close.

[LizBeth]

13. That would be the best, I am telling you.

My son is working for the Democratic Party there and a month ago, he was saying we wouldn't get it by 3 and that is still good for Texas, but now both he and I are saying believe it when we see it, but the possibility is there. Youth vote really is coming out.

[Turin_C3PO]

17. I just hope

that the Republican Party's attempt to throw out 117,00 drive in ballots in Harris County, Texas. It's being heard by an extremely conservative judge.

[radius777]

22. If it goes up to SCOTUS,

I think they will allow it, as (iirc) they allowed the drive thru voting in other cases. If the courts disenfranchise these voters so close to an election it will be a national outrage, and I don't think Roberts wants that.

[Bluesaph]

4. I've been seeing Blacks and Latinos

Who are likely voters haven’t been showing up as expected. Please call any friends and relatives and help them vote. I helped to Hispanic ladies today who told me their kids wouldn’t help them.

[NRaleighLiberal]

6. bumped Joe back up to 90 percent in 538

he lost one ball earlier, just gained it back

[regnaD kciN]

10. Not exactly...

Expected wins in Michigan and Wisconsin and JUST a win in North Carolina, and Trump is done, even if he were to win Pennsylvania, which he won’t wn.

If Trump wins PA and Biden picks up only MI/WI/NC, Trump still narrowly wins the EC. If we don't take PA, we need to win two out of NC/AZ/GA.

[roamer65]

12. The wild card could be TX.

If Biden takes TX. It’s game over for Dump.

[AmericanCanuck]

14. LV polls will be wrong again this time

It is difficult to guess who will actually show up to vote and be "likely"

This time around, so many people who did not vote in 2016 and especially the under 29 constitute a big portion of the voter pool. Biden's lead is bigger than any LV poll.

[grantcart]

16. They don't guess. They ask a qualifying question like "where is your polling station"

To determine L V status

[mvd]

15. It's great to be consistently ahead in the states we absolutely need

I think it is close in FL but we take it by a point or 2. I hope we get FL or a state like GA or TX so we can really breathe easy.

[AlexSFCA]

18. the polls don't reflect uncounted ballots

they don’t account for current issues with USPS, ballots arriving late, ballots strategically rejected for ‘non matching’ signatures, not counting provisional ballots of those who find themselves to be off the rolls on election day, etc., voter intimidation by paramilitary groups which police won’t touch, etc. There is every reason to believe we are dealing with far bigger voter suppression efforts than in 2016. We never had mail voting on a national scale like this. I don’t rule out anything. I don’t plan on celebrating until it’s all over.

[Thekaspervote]

19. Yes, this is a dIfferent election cycle, but these shenanigans happen consistently in every

Election since the repukes began cheating. It didn’t stop us in 18. Their vote totals end up being hurt as well, and maybe even more with covid on an even more aggressive march.
Dotard has hurt his base in FL for sure with his nonsense about VBM isn’t safe. FL has had a very high % of mail in ballots for years.

[AZ8theist]

20. LAND. FUCKING. SLIDE.

Next stop for the TRAITOROUS DOTURD FAMILY?

PRISON.

[stopdiggin]

21. this is seriously at odds with what we're seeing

elsewhere. FL and NC in particular are way different in other sources. Guess it is what it is.
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[triron]

23. knr

[triron]

24. I really like that PPP poll.