Biden has big leads among those who didn't vote in 2016

[octoberlib]

Link to tweet

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Link to tweet

?s=21



Imagine being 73 years old and never once voting. I don’t understand this.

[Maxheader]

1. Weather is supposed to be decent the next week or so.

I think that will get more voters out. And I think the yellow haired

scummy is gone. CDC really laid into it about giving up fighting

corona.

[Dream Girl]

2. I wonder how new voters are captured in the likely voter model. I'll post on this later.

Last edited Sun Nov 1, 2020, 09:09 AM - Edit history (1)

Seems to me the polls maybeundercounting them if there are assumptions built into the LV based on past behavior and propensity to vote or is just based on a single question...How likely are you to vote? I’m a market researcher by profession and think new voters may be underreported.

[octoberlib]

3. I'm sure you're right. People who haven't voted

in years wouldn’t be likely voters so how would the pollsters know?

[MissB]

4. The 538 podcast discussed one pollster and how they define likely voters

If you’d already voted in this election but hadn’t voted consistently previously then you were thrown out of the poll.

[triron]

6. Did they say who this was?

[MissB]

7. I don't recall which polling firm

But it wasn’t some off the wall one.

Sorry, I was multitasking at the time.

[triron]

5. good!