very confusing NY Sienna Florida poll

[kansasobama]

In person on Election Day vote probability

Democrats -56%
GOP- 63%
Rest - 47%

However, 62% of the registered voters have already voted.

Not making sense. Do not expect more than 75% vote-maybe 80%.

[berni_mccoy]

1. I believe that's turnout of remaining eligible voters, not of total

[obamanut2012]

2. It isn't confusing at all

[Renew Deal]

4. Ok. Explain it.

[kansasobama]

3. Okay thank you

[Doodley]

5. If accurate, that doesn't look good at all for Trump.

[kurtcagle]

6. Overall good news for Biden

Of the remaining 38%, roughly 60% of both GOP and Dems plan to vote Tuesday, along with half of remaining indies, which are breaking for Biden 60/40. If that projection holds true, the net votes election day cancel one another out or lean slightly toward Biden. Biden looks to be ahead in early votes by a significant amount. Note also that 60% voting is remarkably high in this day and age, so would even add a lack of enthusiasm penalty to those numbers. "I'll vote for Trump if I have time after golf" sort of thing.