AI that predicted 2016, Brexit, and Canadian Election predicts Biden win

[crimycarny]

Saw this on DailyKos.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/1/1991564/-AI-That-Accurately-Predicted-Brexit-2016-and-Canadian-Election-says?utm_campaign=trending

While traditional pollsters have tried to address the failures of 2016 with new methods (like weighting for education), a new alternative has begun to appear: AI predictions. Advanced Symbolics Inc. is a Canadian firm that has developed an AI named “Polly” which was recently the subject of a documentary by TVO (an Ontario public broadcaster). Polly makes it prediction based on social media and was first deployed in Brexit, then the 2016 American election, and the 2019 Canadian and UK elections. It accurately predicted them all.

I've wondered how accurate the traditional methods of polling are going to be going forward as less and less are going to be answering polls via cell or landline (who wants their data mined? Too many spam calls as it is, etc).

[crimycarny]

1. Texas is neck and neck (50/50)

In the Daily Kos article there is a link to map that shows a live update of each state. Texas is 50/50...wow!

Ohio is red but 50/50. Iowa appears to be leaning Trump. But, the point is, even without some of those states (which are close), if this AI prediction is correct, Biden doesn't need them.

My cousin in Texas says the youth vote is incredible and they are "cautiously optimistic". No wonder the GOP is freaking out and trying to get ballots thrown out...

[crickets]

2. Wow. I like it! But that level of blowout looks optimistic even to me,

and I'm pretty optimistic. This is a fascinating new direction for polling. Bookmarking to see how close it comes to the final results. Thanks for posting this, crimycarny!

Link to interactive US map on the Advanced Symbolics site: https://advancedsymbolics.com/us-election-2/

[crimycarny]

3. Yes, I'm curious to see how accurate as well

All I care about is 270, but I’d love blowout to squash any attempts by Trump and the GOP to contest the results in court.

Wow...if Texas went blue. Be still my heart!