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NRaleighLiberal

(60,006 posts)
Sun Nov 1, 2020, 10:11 PM Nov 2020

has any polling ever held so steady? Info from my three weeks of tracking the polls

The big post of info can be found here - https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214405925

Some summaries

538 - Joe's chance has ranged from 86 to 90 % chance of winning, with projected electoral votes ranging from 345-348 and percent popular vote between 53.3% and 53.5%

Princeton (Sam Wang) site - Joe's metamargin ranging between an advantage of 5.4 to 6.3, with electoral vote projection ranging between 351 and 369.

Economist - Joe's chance of winning ranging from 91 to 96%, 340 to 356 electoral vote range, 53.9 to 54.5% of the popular vote.

Think of all of the news that's happened over those three weeks. These types of numbers seem impervious - just totally baked in - so trump couldn't expand his cult, and decent people have been waiting for a long time to toss trump.

When I started these threads three weeks ago I anticipated more movement...but all it has been are tiny trends to Joe's advantage over that time.

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has any polling ever held so steady? Info from my three weeks of tracking the polls (Original Post) NRaleighLiberal Nov 2020 OP
I appreciate your work, thanks Ponietz Nov 2020 #1
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