Kornacki pointed out something about Texas

[vercetti2021]

Easily should make the GOP sweat like mad. In 2012. Romney carried Texas by 16 points. 16! Trump carried it by almost half that in 2016 by 9. Now 2018. Cruz only won by 3.

Now do you see a trend here? Why the Texas GOP has made it their mission to suppress voters in Texas? The change is happening too fast that their efforts are becoming futile.

Texas will become democratic in my lifetime. Could be this year, could be 2022 or 2024. But one things for sure.

They smell blood in the water and its their own.

[Under The Radar]

1. Not even lying Ted could spin the huge change in demographics

[vercetti2021]

2. Nope!

Texas is changing like Arizona. Soon it'll be blue from Washington state to the Lone Star State. Super blue firewall

[pecosbob]

3. Limit their ability to gerrymander districts and they'll be swept from power

[vercetti2021]

4. Yes!

If we capture the state house. That'll be the meaningful moment for us to change everything

[Gothmog]

6. We need 9 seats in Texas state house

I have my fingers crossed

[Gothmog]

5. Texas is not a red state or a blue state but a non voting state

Last edited Mon Nov 2, 2020, 12:05 AM - Edit history (1)

There are a large number of née voters with bo primary voting history which makes Texas hard to predict

Link to tweet

[moonscape]

7. Remarkable number n/t

[MoonlitKnight]

9. Ding ding ding - we have a winner

It’s people seeing that their vote might actually matter. Same thing happened in Colorado. Once Democrats saw their vote could matter it turned blue rapidly. It’s not just demographics.

We should see the same in Georgia and North Carolina. A bit in Mississippi. We saw it in Alabama but abandoned it. Arizona is energized.

Will it be enough this year? I think so.

[dalton99a]

11. +1

[flibbitygiblets]

14. So what are the new voters' registered parties?

[Gothmog]

16. We do not have party registration in Texas

[vercetti2021]

20. I assume democratic

Beto and his team registered 1.4 million new voters this year

[Gothmog]

32. There is no party registration in Texas

Every two years, you in effect register as a member of a party by voting in that party's primary. After you vote in one party's primary, then you cannot vote in the other party's primary until the next two year cycle

[relayerbob]

8. There are already so many votes cast in EV

that assuming they are falling within expected demographics, it will be very, very difficult to make up the ground on Tuesday, assuming the GOP shows up at all (and doesn't actually secretly pick Biden anyway)

[roamer65]

10. If TX doesn't flip, it's gonna be real damn close.

TX isn’t red anymore, it’s a purple swing state.

[Blue Owl]

12. C'mon big Tex... time to be BLUE

[James48]

13. Blue Bells of Texas

No longer just flowers or ice cream.

Soon will be the change you see across the state. Maybe that expanded Medicaid the blue states have received might be a path to increasing blue voters.

[vercetti2021]

23. If we win the statehouse

Abbott is next. He won't expand it because hes an asshole

[Thunderbeast]

15. A blue legislature will undo the damage

brought on by Tom DeLay. He led the effort to re-draw districts between traditional census adjustments...netting the GOP six more congressional seats through gerrymandering.

[vercetti2021]

22. 9 seats

They are contesting a lot more than 9. We win, we can change the entire game here.

[BrightKnight]

33. Linda Koop's campaign apparently had an insane

amount of money from somewhere.

[liberalla]

17. Did you mean futile instead of fertile?

[vercetti2021]

19. Oh good catch!

I was using my voice to text

[C Moon]

18. I know several people who moved to Texas from California over the last 10 years. All Democrats.

I think that has been happening too, as Texas has been focusing on bringing corporations over from California.
There's not a thing they can do about that—except cheat.

[vercetti2021]

21. Even cheating won't work

Too much change is happening and they can't combat it anymore.

[Quixote1818]

24. Migration patterns is one of the main reasons

Lots of young liberals moving to Texas as their older more conservative population dies off. And of course the Hispanic population is growing fast.


https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/09/american-migration-patterns-should-terrify-gop/598153/

[vercetti2021]

25. Exactly

Lot of tech jobs in Austin too.

[sdfernando]

27. I've got 2 solid DEM niece's in Austin...along with their boyfriends

Thats 4 for Biden.

I travel to Texas often enough for work (from CA) but you couldn't pay me enough to move there!

[vercetti2021]

29. Not yet!

Once we become a Democratic stronghold. Consider it!

[sdfernando]

30. Highly doubtful

Been in San Diego since the mid-70s and pretty sure I'll be staying until I pass on.

[vercetti2021]

31. Beautiful city!

San Diego is

[BrightKnight]

34. I wish I could afford a home in San Diego. nt

[Quixote1818]

26. Hillary over performed the polls in Texas in 2016 by almost 3 pts.

If that occurs again this year then Biden will win by 2 pts.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/tx/texas_trump_vs_clinton-5694.html

[vercetti2021]

28. God I do hope so

And not only that but deliver us a Senate seat and statehouse control

[TexasBushwhacker]

35. This is actually my biggest beef with the Electoral College

It discourages voting in all but the swing states. Because of the close loss of Beto in 2018 (2.6%), Democrats think their vote might actually MATTER, so they are showing up at the polls. Add to that, older, more conservative voters die and are replaced by younger, more liberal ones.