POLITICO's final Election Forecast: Biden in command, Senate up for grabs
snip>
Joe Biden is still the favorite to oust President Donald Trump, sporting the kind of national advantage that isn’t typically seen in the hyper-polarized era of modern politics. Despite that large lead, the race in the battleground states is closer, though public and private polling show the president is a significant underdog going into Election Day.
Democrats are slight favorites to flip the Senate, though Republicans have a clearer path to keep the upper chamber of Congress than the White House.
Democrats, meanwhile, are likely to add to their once-fragile House majority, as Republicans will likely cede additional ground in the follow-up to the 2018 midterm wave.
The forecast is the result of a year-long reporting project, based on conversations with dozens of strategists, operatives and pollsters, in addition to examining public and private polling, voting trends and campaign finance and advertising data.
snip>
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/02/final-election-forecast-biden-trump-senate-433804
= new reply since forum marked as read
