I love the smell of Morning Consult in the morning

[DanTex]

Link to tweet

[Joedog]

1. Wow

That Florida figure looks wonderful

[Ligyron]

19. Trump's done if we can take Florida

It would be an early night.

Worried about shenanigans, particularly here in south Florida both before and after closing but hopefully I'm just being paranoid.

[klook]

26. It's not paranoia if they're really out to get you.

Cautiously optimistic here. One of the most hopeful signs is the expansion of the map. Forcing Rs to compete in so many states spreads their resources thin and lessens the odds of one corrupt state being able to toss it to the Barrett Court.

[Cosmocat]

27. YEP

If Joe wins by 1% he isn't going to "win" Florida.

He needs to win by 3-4 points or so to get the call.

[rocktivity]

33. Right -- it's all about winning by cheatproof margins

Something that Biden has hopefully learned from Obama (and something that Hillary and Kerry sure didn't learn).


rocktivity

[beachbumbob]

2. a wave election can see these margins vastly increase, at this point polls are all meaningless

[COL Mustard]

6. As The Republicans Will Be Happy To Point Out

From 2016. Don't get complacent. If you haven't voted, do. If you have, make sure your friends and family do!

[beachbumbob]

9. reflecting from 2018, there is ZERO complacency invovled with democrats

I WANT GOP to think they have a chance, makes the crash and burn so much more enjoyable

[groundloop]

24. I'd really rather them feel that there's no reason to vote.

I know it's fun to think about their hurt feelings, but from a practical standpoint we just really need to maximize our gains in the Senate and in state offices nationwide. THEN we can start getting the things done that will help families and working people.

[beachbumbob]

29. no way that was going to happen on either side, we need to carry thru and vote and GOTV

and its game over, Biden landslide

[grantcart]

22. I think that Covid concern could add 2-3 percent at the end

[beachbumbob]

23. I personally KNOW 2016 trump voters who voted for Biden becasue of COVID failure

so you know there are a whole bunch in texas, florida and arizona doing the same and these are NOT caught by pollsters

[grantcart]

30. I don't do Facebook but my best friend has a group of these

Surprisingly once they flip they are 100% in, quite bitter about Trump.

He reads me their posts and we laugh at how intense they are.

[Lonestarblue]

3. Florida and Pennsylvania are looking good!

And Texas is a tie! That’s why Republicans are trying so hard to get a court to throw out those 127,000 drive-in votes in Houston. There’s another hearing today.

[DeminPennswoods]

8. PA poll is right in line with the other 3 or 4 most

recent polls. Biden between 49-52 and Trump at 44.

[Cosmocat]

28. Yeah

We should be OK ...

[Demsrule86]

4. Thanks Dan Tex

Good news indeed. K&R Good to see you.

[DanTex]

15. Good to see you too.

I've pretty much given up on doing anything but worrying about the election for the next two days. I'm cautiously optimistic. Hopefully I'll be celebrating with a bunch of drunk New Yorkers outside of Trump Tower in about 36 hours...

[Demsrule86]

35. That is how I am too...I can't think about anything else...all those months and here we are...

I believe on the cusp of ridding ourselves of the worst president in history. I have laid in some goodies and various alcohol supplies-hubs and I will be watching. I will look for you to say...we did it on election night around 10-11 PM I think!.

[futureliveshere]

5. Wow! Hope this is the start of the BLUE WAVE!

[NoRoadUntravelled]

7. This looks so good.

I'm going to look at this from time to time throughout the day to stay in my happy place.

[Tom Rinaldo]

10. SC polls better here than OH. Interesting.

And of course overall quite favorable!

[obamanut2012]

11. Texas and Georgia actually being in play is mindblowing to me

And, even though we don't need them, I want at least one of them, which would probably be GA.

I want:

The Big Orange
The Big Peach
The Big Lexington BBQ

and

The Big Brisket BBQ

I want ALL of them!

[Botany]

13. My dream sweep

Texas, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and Ohio.

[bucolic_frolic]

12. I'm liking MI MN WI PA in that group of polls

The rest look doubtful to me, this morning. After 2018, who can trust a Florida poll? They could be off by 6-7 points.

[lark]

14. I would just about guarantee you that FL will not be won by 6 points.

I have lived here for 48 years, in 2 different shifts, and the FL repug vote stealing machine is well oiled. We can't count on my state, too many ultra rich repugs have greased the wheels too often for me to have any hope. We need to win in enough other places that when the traditional fuckery is done in FL and WI, Joe will still win. I know that will happen. My only question is will the win be big enough to deter drumpf rw fuckery.

[RVN VET71]

31. There will be Trump-fomented RW fuckery regardless the size of Biden's win.

The actual shape of it will depend on how quickly and how badly the early returns are for Trump. I'm afraid people are going to killed and maimed.

Trump may flee the country. He is definitely not going to refuse to leave the WH, but he will seek a position where he can stir up racist violence and keep his loyalists angry and violent -- maybe a TV show broadcast from Russia?

[gerryatwork]

16. Just know

while these polls are mostly favorable to Biden and I just checked FiveThirtyEight and are already factored in there, Nate Silver considers this pollster a lower accuracy one rating it B/C level.

[grantcart]

21. I think this illustrates Silver's comments about "herded" polls

Pollster publishing polls (especially the last one) trying to benchmark polls that will match voting to build credibility in the future.

All of the results are credible, but a little too perfect.

[Mr. Sparkle]

17. I would be amazed if Joe wins Florida.

John Heilemann just said in the poll of polls that Trump is plus 2 in Florida and that Biden is more likely to win Georgia, according to the campaigns internal polling.

[flibbitygiblets]

18. PA will be tipping point. Forget FL, don't need them anyway.

We get PA, AZ or NC and it's over. We only need one. And that's without FL and the insanity it brings.

[Demsrule86]

37. I think we may actually get Georgia this tiime.

[George II]

20. Hopefully by Wednesday morning trump will be inhaling the fumes of Electoral Napalm.

[GoneOffShore]

34. And we'll all be having big dishes of Schadenfreude, along with some Ossifay

Frim Fram sauce and Chiffafa on the side.

Along with Champagne.

[mtnsnake]

25. Beautiful!

[cannabis_flower]

32. If you click through

It’s showing Texas as a tie. I’m so hoping Texas goes to Biden and John Cornyn gets thrown out.

[ananda]

36. Lookin' good!

Thanks

[Blue Owl]

38. It's got a very Bidenesque Bouquet...