Biden finally shifts from FAVORED to CLEARLY FAVORED on 538

[obamanut2012]

[triron]

1. Take average of 538, PEC, Economist. Over 95% chance of winning.

[NRaleighLiberal]

2. just flipped it back to "favored". Knocked off an EV.

I think lots of polls come in today, so the poll aggregator sites will have slightly bobbing numbers throughout the day.

Still, it is all very minor quibbling right now.

[brooklynite]

3. Back to FAVORED.....

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo

[obamanut2012]

4. First time it flipped to CLEARLY

So, I'll take it!

[NRaleighLiberal]

5. it is back up to 350 EVs. There are going to be lots of minor tweaks today, I think.

[LizBeth]

6. Last I heard it was 90%, so that is favored and 95% clearly favored. I think that is kinda funny.

[Johnny2X2X]

7. The real map

If you take the 538 interactive and go no upsets, every state each candidate has a 95% chance of winning they win, the map shrinks for Trump and goes to 3%. That's the way I see it. He has to sweep the swing states, most of which he's clearly behind in to win.

[Thekaspervote]

8. FYI for those still comparing 16 to now. 538 had HRC at 65% at this point