Rasmussen final PA poll: Biden 49, Trump 45 - link

[Alhena]

I almost feel better about a Republican poll saying this than I do a regular poll saying Biden +7.

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/pennsylvania_biden_49_trump_45

[jcgoldie]

1. Yeah Ras D+4

...translates to about +9 or 10 in the real world.

[lagomorph777]

2. Awesome! Add 5 (D) points to any Assmuffin number.

[VWolf]

3. And subtract no more than 5% for voter suppression, etc

I think we got this!

[lagomorph777]

6. I think voter suppression is backfiring this year. Pissed-off voters are standing in the snow,

or doing whatever it takes to overcome the ratfuckery.

[VWolf]

7. Could be, but I like to play it safe anyway :)

I lop off about 3-4% from every poll I see

Makes me feel good that Biden wins even under that scenario

[lagomorph777]

9. Fair enough.

[rzemanfl]

4. I think the unlikely voters will turn this into a rout, yet I am generally a pessimist.

Anyway, that's what I think.

[Tom Rivers]

5. Ras always seems to move back to a more "normal" looking poll in their final one before the election

Being a hacky, partisan Republican poll for the entire cycle right up until their last one is a trend for them in all the years that I've followed.

[Wounded Bear]

11. I think they've gotten a little better the last few cycles...

they don't seem to be a solid +5 R like they used to.

But yeah, still a Def Lean R poll.

[Wounded Bear]

8. "The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence."

So, just outside the MoE.

[zackymilly]

10. Why do they call them final polls? Seems like I've been seeing a lot of 'final' polls...

...from pollsters, and then they come out with another 'final' poll, then another....

[Drunken Irishman]

12. It's likely their final poll of PA.

[NorthOf270]

13. Assmunchin trying to save face

So they can still be counted four years from now in the 538 aggregate.