Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
19 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
***Final Quinnipiac Polls**** FL Biden +5, OH Biden +4, National Biden +11 (Original Post) Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 OP
Wow! MaryMagdaline Nov 2020 #1
Florida and Ohio! honest.abe Nov 2020 #2
If we get either FL or OH, I'm going to bed, and will sleep for the first time in 4 years. lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #3
Not me. I want to see the call for the Senate flip. roamer65 Nov 2020 #6
The undecideds are making up their minds. roamer65 Nov 2020 #4
Both of them? lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #8
The second time today DU made me smile. It's a freaking miracle. n/t rzemanfl Nov 2020 #10
Smiles are in very short supply these past few years. lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #11
THIS. roamer65 Nov 2020 #19
Would be an early night greenjar_01 Nov 2020 #5
I got called by them just before the 2016 election Roland99 Nov 2020 #7
Let it be so!! Sancho Nov 2020 #9
FL I think can flip for Biden. OH, I don't see it. apnu Nov 2020 #12
Biden was +9 in Quinnipiac's head to head poll from December 2019 WSHazel Nov 2020 #13
That's a quality poll Hokie Nov 2020 #14
Yes, but, according to 538, it's had a Democratic "lean" all year... regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #15
538 has their Dem lean at +0.2 Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #17
Whoopie! triron Nov 2020 #16
GOTV, Ohio! Buckeye_Democrat Nov 2020 #18

Roland99

(53,345 posts)
7. I got called by them just before the 2016 election
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 03:42 PM
Nov 2020

Was on a cruise ship and was surprised as heck that my phone even rang (we were hours away from port) - ATT Wifi calling apparently


apnu

(8,790 posts)
12. FL I think can flip for Biden. OH, I don't see it.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 03:51 PM
Nov 2020

FL has been able to count early votes 22 days prior to Nov. 3. I think on election night we'll know the results of Florida on time. If Joe gets it, he's probably won. PA can't start counting mail/absentee votes until 7 AM on Nov. 3 and it might be a few days before we know where PA goes. But Joe has a bigger lead in PA than FL so I figure if FL goes for Joe, PA is in the bag.

OH, on the other hand, has been all over the place where Joe and Trump have traded places a few times. I think OH will be for Trump this year.

OH won't matter for Biden if he gets PA or FL. Trump must have all three and a few others to win. But if FL goes to Joe, the pressure's off the squadron of lawyers Trump claims he has going to PA, they'll be a waste of time. There is no math right now where Joe wins Florida but fails to secure 270.

WSHazel

(824 posts)
13. Biden was +9 in Quinnipiac's head to head poll from December 2019
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 03:56 PM
Nov 2020

What does it say about Trump's supporters that Trump has only lost 2 points during one of the worst years in our nation's history?

Hokie

(4,368 posts)
14. That's a quality poll
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 04:03 PM
Nov 2020

The sample size is around 1500 in all the polls and the MOE is +/- 2.5%. I have seen other polls with a sample size half of that.

regnaD kciN

(27,703 posts)
15. Yes, but, according to 538, it's had a Democratic "lean" all year...
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 04:07 PM
Nov 2020

...so it's probably best to err toward Trump by the 2.5% margin of error or so, which would also bring its national average in line with those of polling organizations as a whole. That still puts us slightly ahead in both states.

Johnny2X2X

(24,435 posts)
17. 538 has their Dem lean at +0.2
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 04:15 PM
Nov 2020

Quinnipiac is very respected. B+ is their grade, but it's really one of the 3 or 4 most respected polls, even more respected than a couple of the A+ pollsters. They do things right and are completely transparent.

Kick in to the DU tip jar?

This week we're running a special pop-up mini fund drive. From Monday through Friday we're going ad-free for all registered members, and we're asking you to kick in to the DU tip jar to support the site and keep us financially healthy.

As a bonus, making a contribution will allow you to leave kudos for another DU member, and at the end of the week we'll recognize the DUers who you think make this community great.

Tell me more...

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»***Final Quinnipiac Polls...