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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAnti-Democracy, Pro-Political Violence Message
11:51 A.M.
By Eric Levitz
Donald Trump is trailing Joe Biden by 8.5 points nationally the biggest polling deficit that any incumbent president has ever faced this late in a campaign. One major cause of Trumps woes is his collapsing standing with self-described moderate voters. In 2016, Hillary Clinton won this group by 12 points; some recent polls have Biden winning it by roughly four times that margin.
But the president has a plan for expanding his coalition: He will reassure moderate skeptics by putting greater emphasis on his indifference to public health, contempt for democracy, and support for political violence ...
... Over the past 24 hours, the president has vowed to fire Dr. Anthony Fauci, praised a caravan of Trump supporters that surrounded a Biden campaign bus in Texas and nearly ran it off the road, and argued that voters whose ballots arent counted on Election Night deserve to be disenfranchised ...
Trumps plan to exploit a partisan discrepancy in voting methods (with Democrats being more likely to cast mail-in ballots that are counted last in some key swing states) has long been clear: Over and over, the president has insinuated that he will declare himself the winner on Election Night if he is leading in partial returns and then fight in court to halt the counting of further ballots. What is new, however, is the president and his advisers openly copping to this strategy. Further, in his remarks Monday, Trump didnt just baselessly assert that mail ballots were rife with fraud; he also made the less factually problematic but more openly anti-democratic argument that last-minute mail ballots shouldnt be counted because procrastinators dont deserve to have their voices heard, saying, If people wanted to get their ballots in, they should have gotten their ballots in long before that ...
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/11/trump-fire-fauci-texas-biden-campaign-bus-mail-ballots-pa.html
struggle4progress
(118,224 posts)By JOSHUA KEATING
OCT 30, 20202:23 PM
... risk factors ... for political violence are things like income inequality, a highly divided society, significant polarization, and a history of political violence ...
... when you look at resilience .. look at questions like, do the political parties keep the violent or really problematic leaders out of gatekeeping abilities? ... You look at institutions like courts and parliamentary bodies to see whether they have deliberative functions that are seen as nonpartisan or seen as above the fray. Are there ways that people can bring grievances and feel like the process itself is fair? And ours again are better than a lot of other countries but obviously have been weakening ...
... You can draw a .. clear line between some of Trumps statements and .. threats against officials and so on.
And .. look .. at law enforcement and security forces, which really are kind of the last line of defense. Do they stand on the side of the people, or do they protect the regime? And there, I think, the U.S. is on pretty strong footing. Our military is extremely professional. Our National Guard is extremely professional ...
... We accept a level of just normal violence in our society that would be stunning in Europe, or Australia, or Canada. These tropes in America that conflate patriotism with the ability to use violence run very deep in our society and make it hard for us to see just how much violence we tolerate as a matter of course ...
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/10/election-violence-risk-polarization.html
struggle4progress
(118,224 posts)2:59 P.M.
By Jonathan Chait
In March of 2016, Marco Rubio delivered an eloquent, anguished statement about Donald Trump. He accused the front-runner of goading his supporters to attack their rivals, and of fomenting bigotry against Muslim Americans, whose patriotism Rubio defended.
A similar moment occurred this weekend. Trump supporters in Texas ambushed a busload of Joe Biden campaign supporters, running them off the road and forcing them to cancel a planned campaign event. It may have been just one incident, but the spectacle of a party shutting down an opponents campaign event was truly chilling. A world in which this tactic became routine would be fundamentally undemocratic. Even more frightening, if utterly unexpected, was Trumps response. The president praised the perpetrators, saying these patriots did nothing wrong and, after the FBI confirmed it was investigating, demanded the probe be halted.
Rubio, who long ago cast his lot with Trump, had not even a cautionary word about any of this. Instead he joined in with Trumps goading, recounting the ambush and roaring, We love what they did! ...
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/marco-rubio-likes-trumps-authoritarian-political-violence.html
struggle4progress
(118,224 posts)... a contested election in times of crisis .. is by no means a guarantee of violence ...
... Its important to step back and ask: What does the research say about the likelihood of election-related violence in November? ...
.... strong political institutions are especially effective in reducing the risk of violence. Many have voiced concerns that President Trump has weakened American political institutions. But as one of the worlds longest-enduring democracies, the United States and its democratic institutions have proven their capacity to maintain order through crises and abuse of presidential power before.
... despite allegations to the contrary, electoral fraud is extremely rare ...
... mass political violence usually happens in countries that have no capacity to prevent it ...
... an especially strong predictor of election violence is a history of armed political conflict. After the 2016 elections, America experienced massive protests and some rioting, but little in the way of deadly political violence ...
https://theconversation.com/election-violence-in-november-heres-what-the-research-says-146548
struggle4progress
(118,224 posts)Author: KGW Staff
Published: 9:29 AM PST November 2, 2020
Updated: 12:40 PM PST November 2, 2020
PORTLAND, Ore. Oregon State Police (OSP) and the Multnomah County Sheriff's Office (MCSO) will be in charge of public safety to address potential post-election violence in Portland this week.
Oregon Gov. Kate Brown announced the move during a press conference Monday morning. She said she used her executive authority as governor to put in place the unified command structure for this week. Brown also said that the Oregon National Guard will be on standby and can be called up to help if necessary ...
"Voter intimidation and political violence will not be tolerated, not from the left, not from the right, and not from the center," Brown said. "Violence is never the answer. We stand here today, urging all Oregonians to commit to nonviolent expression" ...
https://www.kgw.com/article/news/local/protests/oregon-gov-brown-to-discuss-plan-for-potential-post-election-violence-in-portland/283-329331e7-07f4-45d3-99b9-19645ce07745